Pierre, South Dakota – Winter may not be done shaping conditions across South Dakota, as Groundhog Day tradition and seasonal climate outlooks both suggest a slower transition toward spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for consistent warmth closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, South Dakota is also placed in an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That keeps the potential for late-season cold snaps, snow events, and wide temperature swings in play statewide. Sioux Falls, Brookings, and Watertown could see repeated rounds of snow or mixed precipitation, while Rapid City and the Black Hills remain vulnerable to late-season snowstorms and gusty winds.
Precipitation trends add to the concern. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, South Dakota is favored for near to above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises the risk for heavier snowfall during colder stretches and muddy, difficult travel conditions during brief thaws, especially along I-29, I-90, and rural routes.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter hazards may continue beyond those markers. South Dakotans are encouraged to stay prepared for changing conditions and monitor updated advisories, as winter weather could remain part of daily life well into early spring.



