Bismarck, North Dakota – Winter is showing no urgency to release its grip across North Dakota, as Groundhog Day tradition aligns with long-range climate signals pointing to a prolonged cold season. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, a familiar sign of six more weeks of winter that pushes expectations for meaningful spring warmth closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, North Dakota remains in an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That outlook keeps the threat of late-season cold snaps, extended snow cover, and sharp temperature swings firmly in place. Fargo, Grand Forks, Minot, and Bismarck could all see winter systems continue well into March, especially across the Red River Valley and northern counties.
Precipitation is expected to be a major factor. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, North Dakota is favored for above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises the likelihood of heavier snowfall during colder periods and blowing snow during strong wind events, with slick travel possible along I-94, U.S. 83, and rural highways.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter impacts may persist beyond those milestones. North Dakotans are urged to remain winter-ready, monitor local advisories, and plan for hazardous travel conditions to remain possible well into early spring.
