Topeka, Kansas – Winter may not be finished shaping conditions across Kansas, as Groundhog Day tradition and long-range climate outlooks both point to a slower transition toward spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for a reliable warm-up closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Kansas is included in an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That outlook leaves room for late-season cold snaps, strong temperature swings, and periodic winter systems. Northern and central Kansas, including Topeka, Salina, and Manhattan, could still see snow or mixed precipitation into March, while Wichita, Hutchinson, and southern counties may experience sharp back-and-forth shifts between chilly rain and milder afternoons.
Precipitation is expected to play a significant role. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, parts of Kansas are favored for near to above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises the potential for rain events during warmer periods and occasional snow or wintry mixes during colder stretches, which can affect travel on major corridors such as I-70, I-35, and U.S. 54, along with agricultural field conditions.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter impacts may continue beyond those milestones. Kansans are encouraged to remain weather-aware, prepare for rapidly changing conditions, and monitor future advisories, as late-season winter hazards could remain part of the pattern into early spring.
