Jefferson City, Missouri – Winter may not be ready to release its hold on Missouri, as Groundhog Day tradition and long-range climate outlooks both suggest a slower transition into spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for a dependable warm-up closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Missouri falls into an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That keeps the potential for late-season cold snaps, fluctuating temperatures, and occasional winter storms in play statewide. Northern Missouri and areas near the Iowa border could still see snow events into March, while St. Louis, Kansas City, Columbia, and Springfield may experience sharp swings between chilly rain, brief snow, and milder afternoons.
Precipitation is expected to be a key driver of impacts. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Missouri is favored for above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises concerns for repeated rain events, occasional wintry mixes during colder periods, and rising water levels along rivers such as the Missouri and Mississippi. Travel along I-70, I-44, and I-55 could be affected during heavier precipitation or rapid temperature changes.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter-related impacts may persist beyond those milestones. Missourians are encouraged to stay weather-aware, prepare for changing road conditions, and monitor future advisories, as winter hazards could remain part of the pattern into early spring.
