Louisville, Kentucky – Winter may not be ready to release its grip on Kentucky, as Groundhog Day tradition and long-range climate signals both point toward a slower transition into spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for a reliable warm-up closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Kentucky falls into an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That outlook keeps the potential for late-season cold snaps, snow events, and wide temperature swings in play statewide. Northern Kentucky and the Ohio River Valley, including Louisville, Covington, and Ashland, could see periodic winter weather linger into March, while central and southern areas such as Lexington, Bowling Green, and Somerset may experience a mix of chilly rain, brief snow, and short-lived warmups.
Precipitation is expected to be a key factor this season. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Kentucky is favored for above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises the risk for heavier rain events during milder stretches and snow or wintry mixes during colder periods, increasing concerns for slick travel along I-64, I-65, and I-75, as well as river rises and localized flooding as snowmelt combines with rainfall.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter-related impacts may extend beyond those milestones. Kentuckians are encouraged to stay weather-aware, prepare for changing road conditions, and monitor updated advisories, as winter hazards could remain part of daily life into early spring.
