Kansas City, Missouri – Missouri is expected to fall along a notable temperature gradient during the first full week of February, with milder conditions more likely in the west and near-normal winter temperatures holding firmer farther east.
According to the National Weather Service and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, western Missouri carries roughly a 50 percent probability of trending above normal temperatures from Tuesday through the following Monday. That signal weakens steadily moving east across the state, with central Missouri leaning closer to seasonal averages and eastern Missouri, including the St. Louis region, favored to remain near normal overall.
In western Missouri, including Kansas City, St. Joseph, and surrounding areas, daytime highs may reach the upper 30s to low 40s at times, particularly during drier periods. Central Missouri, including Columbia and Jefferson City, may see brief moderation but is expected to fluctuate closer to typical early February levels. Eastern Missouri, including St. Louis and the Mississippi River corridor, is more likely to stay anchored to seasonable cold.
Overnight lows statewide will remain cold, commonly falling into the teens and 20s, limiting any sustained snowmelt and keeping winter firmly in place despite occasional mild afternoons. Missouri’s position between western warmth and colder air over the Great Lakes keeps confidence lower than states farther west.
Precipitation chances appear limited overall, reducing the risk of widespread snow or ice. Travel along major routes such as I-70, I-44, and I-55 should remain manageable, though refreezing overnight may still lead to slick spots during early morning hours.
Residents should expect noticeable temperature differences depending on location, with the mildest conditions favored west of I-49. With Missouri straddling this boundary zone, additional outlook updates are likely as February progresses and the pattern becomes better defined.
