Asheville, NC –Forecast confidence is increasing that a winter weather system could impact the Appalachian region from Pennsylvania to northern Georgia this weekend, with probabilities now reaching around 40% for at least minor winter weather impacts in some areas, according to National Weather Service guidance shared via social media.
Forecasters say recent model trends show a notable increase in confidence for snow or freezing rain developing between late Friday and early Sunday, though the exact storm track, precipitation type, and accumulation amounts remain uncertain as the system is still several days away.
The areas currently highlighted include higher elevations and adjacent foothills along the Appalachian spine, with potential impacts extending near Interstate 81, Interstate 77, Interstate 26, and Interstate 85. Even light accumulations of snow or ice could lead to slick travel conditions, especially during overnight and early morning hours when temperatures are expected to hover near or below freezing.
According to the National Weather Service, freezing rain presents a risk for ice accumulation on trees and power lines, which could result in scattered power outages. In addition, repeated freezing and thawing may contribute to the formation of ice jams on creeks and rivers, particularly in mountainous and narrow valleys. These ice jams can temporarily restrict water flow and raise the risk of localized flooding downstream.
Residents across the Appalachians are encouraged to monitor forecasts closely, prepare for possible travel disruptions, and ensure drainage areas near homes remain clear where it is safe to do so. Officials also caution that overnight precipitation, gusty winds, and falling limbs may create noise disturbances, potentially disrupting sleep in affected communities.
The National Weather Service emphasized that forecast confidence will continue to improve through the week and that even small shifts in storm track could significantly change impacts across the region.
This developing winter threat may be especially relevant for commuters, students, and long-distance travelers moving through Appalachian corridors as February begins.
