Albuquerque, New Mexico – New Mexico is expected to close out January and begin February under a warmer-than-normal and largely dry weather pattern, with minimal chances for rain or snow across the state.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Jan. 24–Feb. 6 outlook favors above-normal temperatures across the Southwest, including New Mexico, with below-normal precipitation probabilities. A persistent ridge of high pressure is forecast to remain in place, keeping storm systems displaced well north of the region and limiting opportunities for meaningful moisture.
Central New Mexico, including Albuquerque, Rio Rancho, and Santa Fe, is expected to see mild afternoons with temperatures running several degrees above seasonal averages. Dry conditions should support smooth travel along I-25 and I-40, with no widespread winter weather disruptions anticipated. Overnight lows will still dip below freezing at times, especially in higher elevations, but prolonged cold spells are not favored.
Northern New Mexico, including the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and communities such as Taos, will also trend milder overall, with limited snowfall chances that may slow short-term snowpack growth. Southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, Roswell, and the Pecos Valley, is expected to remain dry and warm for late January, favoring outdoor activities and stable conditions.
The primary impacts statewide will be tied to continued dry weather, including limited mountain snow accumulation and increased awareness of dry fuels during breezy periods. Fire weather concerns remain low but should be monitored.
Above-average temperatures are expected to persist into early February. While the pattern remains quiet for now, updated outlooks may follow if storm tracks begin to shift back toward the Southwest later in the month.
