Weather
Wisconsin Weather: November Warmth After Sunny Week Oct. 26–Nov. 1
MILWAUKEE, WI — Wisconsin could carry warmer than normal weather into the beginning of November, with a federal outlook favoring above average temperatures across the state during Oct. 26–Nov. 1. For
By Lauren Beckett · 2026-10-19T09:05:22.547Z
MILWAUKEE, WI — Wisconsin could carry warmer than normal weather into the beginning of November, with a federal outlook favoring above average temperatures across the state during Oct. 26–Nov. 1. For Milwaukee and surrounding southeastern Wisconsin communities, the extended warmth signal follows a week expected to feature sunshine and afternoon temperatures mostly in the 60s.
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the eight to 14 day outlook issued Sunday, Oct. 18, favors above normal average temperatures across Wisconsin during Oct. 26–Nov. 1. The state sits within a broad area of elevated warmth probabilities stretching across the Midwest and Great Lakes, with the strongest signals generally farther south.
Wisconsin Warmth Could Stretch Into November Southeastern Wisconsin, including Milwaukee, Waukesha, Racine and Kenosha, lies within an area showing approximately a 60%–70% probability of above normal temperatures.
South central Wisconsin, including Madison and Janesville, falls within a similar warm temperature pattern, with probabilities generally around 60%–70%.
Farther north, communities including Green Bay, Appleton, Wausau and Stevens Point remain within the above normal temperature outlook, although probabilities gradually weaken toward portions of northern Wisconsin.
The weakest warmth signal appears closer to Lake Superior and the northern border, where the map shows lower probabilities than across southern Wisconsin.
This regional difference matters because Wisconsin normally experiences a significant decline in average temperatures between late October and early November.
Northern communities generally cool more quickly than southern locations, while Lake Michigan can influence temperatures along the southeastern shoreline.
A warmer than normal outlook suggests that seasonal cooling could be less pronounced during the seven day period, but it does not guarantee temperatures in the 60s or 70s every day.
Milwaukee Forecast Features Sunshine and 60s Before the extended outlook begins, the National Weather Service forecast for Milwaukee indicates several days of mild October weather.
Monday, Oct. 19, is expected to be sunny with a high near 64 degrees, followed by mostly sunny conditions and a high around 62 Tuesday.
Wednesday could reach approximately 66 degrees, with Thursday climbing to around 65.
Friday is expected to remain mostly sunny with a high near 63, followed by highs around 64 Saturday and 65 Sunday.
Overnight temperatures are forecast to remain mostly in the 40s and lower 50s, including lows near 48 Monday night, 47 Tuesday night and 50 Wednesday night.
At Milwaukee Mitchell International Airport, the supplied observation showed 48 degrees shortly before 3 a.m. Monday.
The local forecast also indicates relatively light winds through much of the early week, with occasional lake influenced wind shifts possible.
These daily temperatures apply to Oct. 19–25 and are separate from NOAA's Oct. 26–Nov. 1 outlook.
Precipitation Outlook Shows Regional Differences While temperatures are favored to average above normal, NOAA's precipitation outlook indicates a more complicated pattern across Wisconsin.
Milwaukee and much of southeastern Wisconsin fall near the boundary between near normal and above normal precipitation, with only a modest wet signal.
Western Wisconsin, including areas toward La Crosse and Eau Claire, generally favors above normal precipitation, with probabilities around 33%–40%.
Farther east, portions of the Lake Michigan shoreline are closer to the near normal precipitation category.
This means Wisconsin's warmer than normal November transition would not necessarily bring uniformly dry or wet weather.
Updated National Weather Service forecasts will help determine whether the extended warmth produces additional mild afternoons, warmer overnight temperatures or more unsettled conditions.
Would you welcome another stretch of mild fall weather around Milwaukee, or are you ready for Wisconsin's colder November temperatures?