Weather
Virginia Weather: November Outlook After Cold Nights Oct. 26–Nov. 1
BLACKSBURG, VA — Southwest Virginia is approaching November with a sharp contrast between sunny afternoons and chilly mornings, as temperatures around Blacksburg are forecast to fall into the 30s on s
By Erin Vale · 2026-10-19T09:17:29.535Z
BLACKSBURG, VA — Southwest Virginia is approaching November with a sharp contrast between sunny afternoons and chilly mornings, as temperatures around Blacksburg are forecast to fall into the 30s on several nights this week. The colder overnight conditions come ahead of NOAA's extended weather outlook for Oct. 26–Nov. 1, which will help determine whether a milder pattern could emerge as November begins.
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the eight to 14 day outlook issued Oct. 18 covers Oct. 26 through Nov. 1, 2026. The outlook evaluates whether average temperatures and total precipitation are favored to finish above, near or below normal. Virginia's specific temperature and precipitation probability categories still require confirmation from the corresponding CPC maps.
Cold Mornings Return to Southwest Virginia The National Weather Service office in Blacksburg forecasts a stretch of sunshine across Montgomery County and the surrounding New River Valley, with daytime temperatures generally reaching the 60s.
Monday, Oct. 19, is expected to reach approximately 65 degrees under sunny skies, followed by a low near 36 degrees Monday night.
Tuesday should bring sunshine and a high around 69 degrees, making it the warmest day in the immediate forecast.
However, temperatures are expected to fall back to approximately 38 degrees Tuesday night.
Wednesday and Thursday should both reach around 66 degrees, with overnight temperatures again falling to approximately 38 degrees.
Friday's forecast calls for sunshine and a high near 65 degrees. Saturday could be cooler, with a high around 60 degrees and an overnight low near 37 degrees.
Sunday is expected to reach approximately 64 degrees.
At Virginia Tech Airport, temperatures were already down to 35 degrees at 4:15 a.m. EDT Monday, demonstrating how chilly conditions can become in the New River Valley during clear, calm autumn nights.
Why Virginia's Mountain Communities Are Different Blacksburg sits at an elevation of approximately 2,100 feet, making its autumn temperature patterns different from those of lower elevation communities across Virginia.
Nearby Christiansburg, Radford and other New River Valley locations can experience cold overnight conditions even when afternoon temperatures remain comfortable.
The broader Appalachian region also includes substantial elevation differences, meaning conditions in mountain valleys and higher terrain may vary.
Although the forecast includes several nights in the 30s, the supplied National Weather Service information does not establish an active frost advisory for Blacksburg.
Residents with sensitive outdoor plants should continue monitoring overnight temperatures, particularly where colder local conditions may develop.
What the November Outlook Means for Virginia The Oct. 26–Nov. 1 outlook will be especially relevant for residents wondering whether autumn's colder mornings will persist or whether temperatures could trend warmer than usual.
Virginia's geography creates important regional distinctions. The mountainous southwest, central Piedmont, Richmond metropolitan area and Atlantic coastline do not necessarily experience identical temperature or precipitation patterns.
The CPC maps are needed to determine whether the upcoming outlook favors above normal warmth across Virginia or whether different regions have weaker or contrasting signals.
The same applies to precipitation. A warmer than normal temperature outlook would not automatically mean dry conditions, and the current Blacksburg forecast cannot establish rainfall tendencies during the later period.
For now, the immediate forecast supports sunny afternoons and cold mornings through Oct. 25, while NOAA's extended outlook covers the following week.
Updated forecasts should provide more specific daily temperatures and precipitation chances as November approaches.
Are you hoping Southwest Virginia gets another stretch of mild fall weather, or are you ready for colder November temperatures?