Weather
Vermont November Weather Nov. 5-11: Winter Risks Remain
Montpelier, VT – Vermont's Green Mountains could be among the first places residents look for signs of winter as November gets underway. Even when temperatures trend warmer than normal, higher elevati
By Natalie Brooks · 2026-10-29T07:27:21.003Z
Montpelier, VT – Vermont's Green Mountains could be among the first places residents look for signs of winter as November gets underway. Even when temperatures trend warmer than normal, higher elevations can experience freezing conditions and snow while nearby valleys remain considerably milder.
That difference matters for travelers, hikers and residents across the state's mountain communities during the first full week of November.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, its 8 14 day outlook issued Wednesday, Oct. 28, favors above normal temperatures across much of the Northeast for Thursday, Nov. 5, through Wednesday, Nov. 11.
The outlook indicates a broad temperature trend rather than a guarantee of mild weather every day. It does not establish a specific Vermont snowstorm during that period.
Where Winter Can Arrive First
Higher elevations near Mount Mansfield, Jay Peak, Killington and the central Green Mountains can experience colder conditions than surrounding communities.
That creates opportunities for early season mountain snow when moisture arrives alongside sufficiently cold air.
The Northeast Kingdom, including communities around Newport, Island Pond and St. Johnsbury, also faces colder seasonal conditions than many lower elevation areas farther south.
However, the possibility of snow in these locations does not mean accumulating snowfall is currently forecast for Nov. 5 11.
What About Burlington and Southern Vermont?
Burlington, Middlebury, Rutland and Brattleboro can experience chilly nights and occasional early season winter precipitation, but temperatures and precipitation type often differ from conditions on nearby mountain summits.
For drivers using Interstate 89, Interstate 91 and mountain routes such as Vermont Route 100, freezing temperatures and changing precipitation types become increasingly important as November progresses.
The available NOAA hazardous weather guidance does not identify Vermont for an elevated heavy snow risk during Nov. 5 11.
For now, the broader outlook favors temperatures above seasonal averages rather than a widespread winter storm.
Vermonters planning mountain travel should monitor updated National Weather Service forecasts, especially when temperatures approach freezing.
Mountain snow remains a seasonal possibility, not a confirmed November 5 11 forecast.