Weather
Vermont Weather Nov. 2026: Warmer Month Likely, Snow Uncertain
Burlington, VT – Vermont residents could experience a warmer than normal November this year, according to a new monthly climate outlook, although uncertainty surrounding rain and snowfall leaves quest
By Mason Reid · 2026-11-02T09:22:31.894Z
Burlington, VT – Vermont residents could experience a warmer than normal November this year, according to a new monthly climate outlook, although uncertainty surrounding rain and snowfall leaves questions about how winter weather will develop across the state.
According to the National Weather Service in Burlington, the November 2026 climate outlook favors above normal temperatures across Vermont and much of the northeastern United States, supported by an unusually warm start to the month.
The outlook, issued October 31 and valid throughout November, indicates that temperatures are more likely to finish above historical averages than near or below normal.
The warming signal extends across much of New England, including Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine and portions of neighboring New York.
Forecasters emphasize that above normal monthly temperatures do not eliminate the possibility of cold spells, frost or snowfall .
Instead, the outlook reflects the likelihood that average temperatures across the entire month will exceed typical November values.
While the temperature forecast shows a relatively clear warming preference, precipitation remains considerably less certain.
The National Weather Service indicates equal chances of above normal, near normal and below normal precipitation across Vermont and much of the Northeast.
That uncertainty applies to both rain and snow, meaning the outlook does not establish whether November will bring more or less snowfall than usual.
Changing weather patterns throughout the month could still produce periods of colder temperatures and wintry precipitation, particularly in Vermont's higher elevations.
The national outlook also favors above normal temperatures across broad sections of the northern United States, including portions of the Midwest, Great Lakes and northern Plains.
Meanwhile, wetter than normal conditions are favored in parts of the western and central United States, but that precipitation signal does not extend clearly into Vermont.
Residents preparing for winter should continue monitoring shorter range forecasts, as monthly climate outlooks cannot predict individual snowstorms or their timing.
Updated forecasts are available at weather.gov/btv and cpc.ncep.noaa.gov .