Weather
Vermont Thanksgiving Weather Alert: Snow, Ice Possible Nov. 22-28
Burlington, VT – Vermont residents preparing for Thanksgiving and Black Friday travel should keep an eye on changing weather conditions during November 22 28, as rain, snow and potentially freezing ra
By Natalie Rhodes · 2026-11-14T22:42:27.221Z
Burlington, VT – Vermont residents preparing for Thanksgiving and Black Friday travel should keep an eye on changing weather conditions during November 22 28, as rain, snow and potentially freezing rain remain possibilities heading into the holiday period.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's NOAA Climate Prediction Center, outlooks issued Saturday, November 14, favor above normal temperatures and precipitation across Vermont during the eight to 14 day forecast period.
The precipitation outlook places Vermont in the 33% to 40% probability category for above normal precipitation, suggesting a modest tilt toward wetter than average conditions.
Meanwhile, the temperature outlook indicates approximately a 60% to 70% probability of above normal temperatures across much of Vermont.
Could Vermont See Snow or Freezing Rain?
Despite the warmer than normal temperature outlook, snow remains possible, especially across northern Vermont, the Green Mountains and higher elevation communities.
Locations including Burlington, Montpelier, Stowe and Rutland could experience rain during milder periods, while snow or freezing rain would depend on temperatures and the timing of any approaching weather systems.
Above normal temperatures do not necessarily mean every day will be warm enough to prevent wintry precipitation.
However, NOAA's outlook does not specifically forecast snow, freezing rain or a winter storm.
Thanksgiving and Black Friday Travel Outlook
Thanksgiving falls Thursday, November 26, followed by Black Friday on November 27.
Travelers using Interstate 89, Interstate 91 and mountain routes should monitor updated forecasts, particularly where elevation changes can influence road conditions.
If precipitation develops alongside freezing temperatures, slippery roads could become a concern. No specific hazardous travel period has been identified.
More detailed forecasts should clarify precipitation types and potential impacts as Thanksgiving approaches.
For now, Vermont faces a warmer, somewhat wetter outlook, but the possibility of wintry weather remains worth monitoring.