Weather
Lubbock, TX Weather Alert: Severe Storm Risk Rises Tuesday Evening Oct 13
Lubbock, TX – Residents across West Texas and the South Plains could face strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday, October 13, as forecasters warn of increasing storm chances capable of producing large
By Rachel Monroe · 2026-10-12T18:09:45.095Z
Lubbock, TX – Residents across West Texas and the South Plains could face strong to severe thunderstorms Tuesday, October 13, as forecasters warn of increasing storm chances capable of producing large hail, severe winds and locally heavy rainfall.
According to the National Weather Service in Lubbock, isolated thunderstorms are possible Monday night, October 12, particularly across the Caprock. However, the greater concern arrives Tuesday afternoon and continues into Tuesday night.
Forecasters indicate that some thunderstorms could become strong to severe, creating potentially hazardous conditions for drivers and residents throughout the region.
Tuesday evening is expected to bring the primary storm window , with thunderstorm chances increasing as the day progresses.
The latest forecast shows overnight temperatures ranging from 64 to 73 degrees across the area, accompanied by southwesterly winds of 10 to 15 mph.
Tuesday afternoon temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 80s and mid 90s, with highs ranging from 87 to 95 degrees.
Southerly winds of 10 to 15 mph are also forecast.
In Lubbock, rain chances remain relatively low through Tuesday morning before increasing to 35% by 3 p.m., according to the weather service's precipitation probability matrix.
Childress shows a 30% precipitation probability by Tuesday afternoon, while Brownfield, Plainview and Tulia have lower afternoon probabilities.
Despite those percentages, forecasters emphasize that thunderstorms developing later Tuesday could become severe.
Large hail may damage vehicles and exposed property, while severe thunderstorm winds could make travel hazardous.
Locally heavy rainfall could also reduce visibility and create difficult driving conditions during stronger storms.
Residents across Lubbock County and surrounding South Plains communities should monitor updated forecasts, especially Tuesday afternoon and evening, as storm timing and intensity become clearer.
The National Weather Service has not indicated that severe weather is guaranteed, but conditions could support stronger thunderstorms during the evening hours.