Weather
Lubbock, TX Weather Alert: 80% Rain Chance Sunday Night Oct 25-26
Lubbock, TX – A changing weather pattern could bring widespread showers, thunderstorms and potentially flooding rainfall to West Texas this weekend, with rain chances climbing as high as 85% in parts
By Erin Vale · 2026-10-20T11:34:11.084Z
Lubbock, TX – A changing weather pattern could bring widespread showers, thunderstorms and potentially flooding rainfall to West Texas this weekend, with rain chances climbing as high as 85% in parts of the South Plains.
According to the National Weather Service in Lubbock, a shift in the regional weather pattern is expected to increase precipitation chances beginning Saturday, October 24, and continuing through Monday, October 26.
The latest forecast shows rain chances increasing substantially across Lubbock County, the surrounding South Plains and portions of the Texas Panhandle.
Saturday marks the beginning of the changing conditions.
In Lubbock, precipitation chances increase from 10% Saturday morning to 45% by Saturday evening. Farther northwest, Friona could see rain chances reaching 85% by Saturday evening.
Plainview and Brownfield are forecast to reach 50% by Saturday evening, while Denver City could climb to 65%.
Sunday could bring some of the highest rain chances across the region.
Lubbock's precipitation probability rises to 60% Sunday morning before reaching 80% by Sunday evening.
Friona maintains an 85% chance, while Plainview, Brownfield and Denver City could see probabilities between 65% and 75%.
The unsettled pattern is expected to continue Monday, with precipitation chances remaining between 70% and 75% for several South Plains communities.
Forecasters also highlight the potential for flooding rainfall as showers and thunderstorms become more widespread.
Although specific rainfall totals and flooding locations have not been established in the provided outlook, residents should monitor forecasts as the weekend approaches.
Drivers should remain cautious around water covered roads, particularly in low lying areas and locations with poor drainage.
The National Weather Service has not identified a specific severe weather risk level in this update.
Residents across Lubbock, Plainview, Brownfield, Denver City and surrounding communities can follow updated forecasts at weather.gov/lubbock.