Weather
West Central Texas Weather: 20° Cooldown, Rain by Thursday Oct 15
Abilene, TX – West Central Texas residents could experience a dramatic weather shift this week as temperatures approaching 100 degrees give way to a possible cold front, increasing rain chances and af
By Grant Holloway · 2026-10-11T13:30:37.258Z
Abilene, TX – West Central Texas residents could experience a dramatic weather shift this week as temperatures approaching 100 degrees give way to a possible cold front, increasing rain chances and afternoon highs falling into the 70s by Friday.
According to the National Weather Service in Abilene/San Angelo, hot and dry conditions will dominate through Wednesday, Oct. 14, before a potentially significant pattern change develops late Wednesday or Thursday.
Forecasters say most weather models currently favor cooler, wetter conditions, although uncertainty remains regarding the front's timing and strength.
Temperatures Could Drop More Than 20 Degrees
Abilene is forecast to reach 93 degrees Monday and 96 Tuesday , followed by 93 Wednesday.
By Thursday, highs could fall to 86 degrees before dropping to 75 Friday and 71 Saturday .
San Angelo faces a similar change, with highs reaching 95 degrees Tuesday before falling to 75 Friday and 71 Saturday.
Sweetwater could see temperatures decline from 95 Tuesday to just 70 Saturday.
Overnight temperatures will also turn noticeably cooler, with Saturday morning lows near 51 degrees in Abilene and 48 in San Angelo.
Rain Chances Increase Late Wednesday
Rain chances are expected to rise as the approaching weather system moves into the region.
Abilene has a 50% chance of precipitation Wednesday, 65% Thursday and 60% Friday .
San Angelo's rain chances increase to 40% Wednesday, 65% Thursday and 65% Friday.
Haskell could see precipitation probabilities reach 70% Wednesday and Thursday.
Wet roads could affect travel along Interstate 20, U.S. Highway 83 and other regional routes if showers develop.
Forecasters Warn Timing Could Change
The National Weather Service emphasized that some forecast models show a delayed frontal passage or less rainfall and cooling than currently projected.
However, most guidance favors a transition toward cooler and wetter weather beginning late Wednesday or Thursday.
Residents should monitor updated forecasts throughout the week as confidence improves regarding rainfall timing and temperature changes.