Weather
Tennessee Weather Nov. 4: Nashville Faces 70% Rain Chance as Thanksgiving Season Nears
NASHVILLE, TN – Rain chances are increasing in Nashville during the first week of November, with showers likely Sunday, Nov. 1, before another round of rain and possible thunderstorms arrives Tuesday
By Elliot Vaughn · 2026-10-31T09:03:04.883Z
NASHVILLE, TN – Rain chances are increasing in Nashville during the first week of November, with showers likely Sunday, Nov. 1, before another round of rain and possible thunderstorms arrives Tuesday night into Wednesday, Nov. 4.
According to the National Weather Service in Nashville, precipitation chances reach 60% Sunday and climb to 70% Wednesday, while afternoon temperatures range from the mid 60s to around 80 degrees through the period.
Saturday, Oct. 31, brings mostly cloudy skies and a high near 80 degrees. East winds are expected to become southeast at 5 to 10 mph during the morning.
A 40% chance of showers develops Saturday night, mainly after 2 a.m., with temperatures falling to around 55 degrees.
Sunday, Nov. 1, brings showers likely and a high near 66 degrees. The precipitation probability reaches 60%, with southeast winds of 5 to 10 mph and gusts up to 20 mph.
Showers remain likely Sunday evening, mainly before 7 p.m., before rain chances decrease overnight.
Monday, Nov. 2, offers a relatively drier period, with mostly cloudy skies and a high near 72 degrees.
Tennessee Weather: Nashville Storm Chances Increase Nov. 3 4 Tuesday, Nov. 3, brings partly sunny skies and a high near 77 degrees. A 20% chance of showers develops after 1 p.m., while southeast winds could gust to 30 mph.
Tuesday night brings increasing rain chances, with showers likely and thunderstorms possible after 1 a.m. The precipitation probability rises to 60%.
Wednesday, Nov. 4, carries the highest rain probability in the forecast at 70%, with showers likely and a possible thunderstorm. The high is expected near 74 degrees.
Rain chances decrease to 50% Wednesday night and 30% Thursday.
Thanksgiving Travel: Will Tennessee See More Rain? The unsettled early November pattern arrives as Thanksgiving travel planning begins, but the current National Weather Service forecast does not establish conditions for the holiday itself.
Thanksgiving falls Thursday, Nov. 26, beyond the forecast period shown in the latest update.
For now, Nashville residents should expect showers Sunday, another opportunity for rain and thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday, and decreasing rain chances later in the week.