Weather
Tennessee Valley Nov. 23–26: Mild Outlook, Snow Possible Farther North
Tennessee Valley — The Farmers’ Almanac’s long range outlook favors a mild Thanksgiving across Tennessee and neighboring parts of the Southeast, while its snow showers outlook lies farther north in a
By Miles Carter · 2026-10-20T12:27:41.025Z
Tennessee Valley — The Farmers’ Almanac’s long range outlook favors a mild Thanksgiving across Tennessee and neighboring parts of the Southeast, while its snow showers outlook lies farther north in a forecast zone that includes Kentucky.
The publication’s Oct. 19 update covers Monday, Nov. 23, through Thanksgiving Day, Thursday, Nov. 26, 2026. Tennessee, Alabama and Mississippi fall within its Southeast zone, where generally pleasant conditions, sunshine and a good chance of dry weather are projected.
That places communities around Knoxville, Chattanooga and Huntsville within the broader mild weather outlook. The publication does not provide city specific temperatures or daily forecasts.
Kentucky falls in the Almanac’s separate Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Midwest zone, where colder conditions and scattered snow showers or flurries are possible. These broad descriptions do not establish a sharp weather boundary at the Tennessee Kentucky line or confirm snow on a particular travel route.
El Niño remains relevant to the larger pattern. NOAA’s November outlook identifies it as the dominant climate influence and favors above normal precipitation across much of the Southeast. A wetter month can still contain several dry holiday days, so that monthly outlook does not settle the Nov. 23–26 forecast.
Nor would a mild Thanksgiving settle the rest of winter. NOAA’s December through February outlook favors wetter conditions across the southern United States, but precipitation totals alone cannot determine whether individual storms bring rain or snow.
Local history shows why snow remains possible even where it is uncommon. Huntsville’s November snowfall normal rounds to 0.0 inches for 1991–2020, yet the city recorded 4 inches on Nov. 2, 1966 , according to the National Weather Service. Those historical figures are not a prediction for Thanksgiving 2026.
Travelers should check local National Weather Service forecasts closer to departure, including conditions farther north if heading into Kentucky or the Midwest. NOAA says snowfall generally cannot be predicted reliably more than a week ahead.