Weather
Pennsylvania November Weather Nov. 5-11: Warmth Won't Rule Out Snow
Harrisburg, PA – Pennsylvania's first full week of November may bring temperatures above seasonal averages, but winter weather is already becoming a consideration in the state's colder regions. From L
By Rachel Monroe · 2026-10-29T07:20:43.655Z
Harrisburg, PA – Pennsylvania's first full week of November may bring temperatures above seasonal averages, but winter weather is already becoming a consideration in the state's colder regions. From Lake Erie's shoreline to the Allegheny Mountains, snow and freezing conditions remain seasonal possibilities even when the broader weather pattern favors warmth.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center, its 8 14 day outlook issued Wednesday, Oct. 28, favors above normal temperatures across Pennsylvania from Thursday, Nov. 5, through Wednesday, Nov. 11.
That outlook includes Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, Allentown, Scranton, State College and Erie, although actual temperatures can vary considerably by location and elevation.
Where Snow Becomes a Bigger Question
Northwestern Pennsylvania has a distinct winter weather exposure because of Lake Erie.
Communities around Erie, Harborcreek, North East, Edinboro and Waterford can experience lake effect snow when sufficiently cold air crosses the lake and moves inland.
Higher elevations across the Allegheny Plateau and northern mountains can also experience freezing temperatures and early season snow before lower elevation communities.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia, Bucks County, Montgomery County and much of southeastern Pennsylvania typically have a lower early November snowfall risk.
What About Ice and Travel Conditions?
November's changing temperatures also make freezing rain and icy roads important seasonal hazards, particularly in elevated areas where temperatures can fall below freezing.
Travelers along Interstate 80, Interstate 79, Interstate 81 and the Pennsylvania Turnpike should remain aware of changing conditions as winter approaches.
However, NOAA's current hazardous weather outlook does not identify Pennsylvania for an elevated heavy snow risk during Nov. 5 11.
The precipitation outlook also does not establish whether any precipitation would fall as rain, snow or ice.
For now, above normal temperatures remain the stronger forecast signal, with no specific statewide snowstorm indicated.
Pennsylvania's lake effect snowbelt and higher elevations remain worth monitoring as November progresses, especially if later forecasts show colder air entering the region.