Weather
Tulsa, OK Weather Nov. 5: Rain Chances Reach 60% This Afternoon
TULSA, OK – Scattered rain showers are expected to move across eastern Oklahoma Thursday afternoon, November 5, bringing precipitation chances as high as 60% near Tulsa before the system shifts southe
By Miles Carter · 2026-11-05T10:12:20.142Z
TULSA, OK – Scattered rain showers are expected to move across eastern Oklahoma Thursday afternoon, November 5, bringing precipitation chances as high as 60% near Tulsa before the system shifts southeast during the evening.
According to the National Weather Service in Tulsa, a weak storm system will produce scattered light to moderate showers across portions of eastern Oklahoma Thursday, with rainfall amounts generally remaining light.
The system could also produce isolated thunder, although forecasters emphasize that thunderstorms are unlikely across most locations.
Rain Chances Reach 60% Near Tulsa The latest National Weather Service forecast shows the highest precipitation probabilities across portions of northeastern Oklahoma, particularly near Tulsa and surrounding communities.
Forecast rain chances include:
Tulsa area: 50% to 60% Bartlesville area: 40% to 50% Muskogee area: 30% to 40% McAlester area: 30% to 40% Fayetteville, Arkansas, area: 20% to 30% Fort Smith, Arkansas, area: 10% to 20% Showers are expected to develop or spread across eastern Oklahoma during the afternoon before shifting toward southeastern portions of the state Thursday evening.
How Much Rain Is Expected? The National Weather Service forecasts generally light rainfall totals, with most affected locations receiving approximately 0.10 to 0.25 inches.
While some showers could become moderate, the forecast does not indicate widespread heavy rainfall or a significant flooding threat.
Thunder remains possible with the passing system, but forecasters say thunderstorms are unlikely for most communities.
Rain Expected to End Thursday Evening Rain chances will gradually shift into southeastern Oklahoma during the evening hours as the storm system continues moving east.
Showers are expected to dissipate Thursday evening, with a few lingering precipitation chances extending into western Arkansas.
Drivers traveling across eastern Oklahoma should prepare for occasional wet roads and reduced visibility during passing showers.
Residents should monitor National Weather Service updates for changes in rainfall timing and any isolated thunderstorm development.