Weather
Oklahoma Weather Alert: 35 MPH Gusts Today, Flooding Risk Ahead Oct 13
Tulsa, OK – Oklahoma residents face a dramatic weather shift this week as near record heat and gusty winds raise wildfire concerns Monday, October 12, before widespread thunderstorms bring several inc
By Mara Ellison · 2026-10-12T10:39:40.683Z
Tulsa, OK – Oklahoma residents face a dramatic weather shift this week as near record heat and gusty winds raise wildfire concerns Monday, October 12, before widespread thunderstorms bring several inches of rain and possible localized flooding to northeastern portions of the state.
According to the National Weather Service in Tulsa, Monday afternoon will bring temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s, southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph and gusts reaching 35 mph. Afternoon humidity could fall to 30% to 40%, creating favorable conditions for grassfires to spread rapidly.
Wildfire Concerns Increase Monday
The greatest fire weather concerns extend across northeast Oklahoma, including Tulsa, Bartlesville and Muskogee, and into far northwest Arkansas near Fayetteville.
Drought stricken vegetation remains especially vulnerable to ignition. Forecasters urge residents to properly discard cigarettes, avoid parking or idling vehicles over dry grass and immediately report smoke or accidental fires.
Heavy Rain Could Bring Localized Flooding
Conditions begin changing Tuesday evening as showers and thunderstorms develop across northeast Oklahoma.
Rain chances increase significantly Wednesday and Thursday, with precipitation probabilities reaching 90% to 95% around Tulsa and Bartlesville. Miami could see rain chances approaching 100% Wednesday.
Forecast rainfall totals from Tuesday evening through Friday range from 2 to 4 inches around Tulsa and Bartlesville, with approximately 1 to 1.5 inches near Fayetteville and lighter amounts farther south.
The National Weather Service warns localized flooding could develop, particularly where heavier thunderstorms repeatedly affect the same communities.
Motorists should monitor road conditions and avoid driving through flooded roadways.
A cold front is expected to pass through Thursday, bringing noticeably cooler temperatures late in the week. Drier weather is forecast to return by next weekend.
Residents should monitor updated forecasts as rainfall totals and storm timing may change.