Weather
Eastern Oklahoma Weather Alert: Halloween Showers Oct 31
Tulsa, OK – Rain could become a more noticeable part of Halloween weekend across northeastern Oklahoma as shower chances climb to 50% Saturday, Oct. 31, following several days of warm temperatures and
By Natalie Rhodes · 2026-10-25T10:34:21.566Z
Tulsa, OK – Rain could become a more noticeable part of Halloween weekend across northeastern Oklahoma as shower chances climb to 50% Saturday, Oct. 31, following several days of warm temperatures and generally favorable weather. Afternoon highs are expected to remain in the upper 70s and lower 80s through much of the week, but another disturbance approaching the Plains could introduce wetter conditions just as families prepare for Halloween activities. The timing and coverage of Saturday's rainfall remain uncertain, making updated forecasts particularly important for outdoor plans.
According to the National Weather Service in Tulsa, a weather system is expected to brush eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas late Monday night into early Tuesday, bringing a few showers. Another disturbance moving across the Plains could produce additional rainfall late in the week, with a low potential for thunderstorms. The agency's hazardous weather outlook, issued at 4:52 a.m. CDT Sunday, Oct. 25, identifies Saturday as the period with potential weather hazards while indicating no hazardous weather is expected Monday through Friday.
Halloween Rain Chances Rise to 50% Saturday currently carries the highest precipitation probability in Tulsa's available seven day forecast. The National Weather Service projects a 50% chance of showers, mostly cloudy skies and an afternoon high near 76 degrees. South winds around 10 mph could gust as high as 20 mph, introducing breezier conditions alongside the developing possibility of rainfall.
The approaching disturbance may affect portions of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, although the precise placement and timing of precipitation have not been established. The hazardous weather outlook mentions a low potential for thunderstorms late in the week, but does not indicate a confirmed severe thunderstorm threat for Tulsa. Rainfall amounts are also not specified, meaning there is currently insufficient information to predict significant accumulations or flooding locally.
Wednesday, Oct. 28, offers a notable contrast before the weekend's unsettled pattern develops. Sunshine and temperatures near 80 degrees are expected, with south winds between 5 and 10 mph and occasional gusts reaching 20 mph. Thursday could become slightly warmer, reaching approximately 81 degrees under mostly sunny skies.
Warm Temperatures Continue Before Weekend Changes The extended period of mild afternoon temperatures should provide generally favorable conditions for commuting, outdoor recreation and seasonal events across Tulsa County. Travelers using Interstate 44, U.S. 169 and the Broken Arrow Expressway should encounter predominantly dry weather during the middle of the week, based on the supplied forecast. Any showers that develop later could leave pavement wet and reduce visibility temporarily, depending on rainfall intensity.
Tuesday brings an earlier opportunity for precipitation, with a 30% chance of showers before 1 p.m. Temperatures should still reach approximately 78 degrees before partly cloudy conditions return Tuesday night. Wednesday and Thursday then provide a break from the precipitation chances, with sunshine and highs around 80 to 81 degrees.
Friday and Saturday Bring Renewed Rain Potential Friday, Oct. 30, introduces a 20% chance of showers, with partly sunny skies and a high near 77 degrees. South winds between 5 and 10 mph could produce gusts around 20 mph, while Friday night brings a 30% chance of showers and temperatures near 61 degrees.
By Saturday, the rain probability increases to 50%, although the forecast does not specify whether showers will occur during afternoon events or evening trick or treating. Residents planning outdoor celebrations may want to prepare an indoor alternative and check updated National Weather Service forecasts as the weekend approaches.
Will the possibility of Halloween showers change your family's plans, or are you preparing to celebrate regardless of the weather?
Five Day Weather Outlook Sunday 10/25: Partly sunny skies will bring temperatures near 80 degrees, with southeast winds around 5 mph; Sunday night turns cloudy, with temperatures falling to approximately 55 degrees and south winds near 5 mph.
Monday 10/26: Mostly cloudy skies will gradually become sunnier, with temperatures reaching approximately 78 degrees and south winds around 5 mph; Monday night becomes cloudy after a partly cloudy evening, with lows near 56 degrees.
Tuesday 10/27: A 30% chance of showers is expected before 1 p.m., followed by partly sunny skies and temperatures near 78 degrees; Tuesday night becomes partly cloudy, with lows around 59 degrees.
Wednesday 10/28: Sunny skies will accompany afternoon temperatures near 80 degrees, with south winds between 5 and 10 mph and gusts reaching 20 mph; Wednesday night remains mostly clear, with lows near 62 degrees.
Thursday 10/29: Mostly sunny skies will bring temperatures near 81 degrees, with south winds between 5 and 10 mph and gusts reaching 20 mph; Thursday night becomes partly cloudy, with temperatures falling to around 62 degrees.
Extended Weather Outlook Friday, Oct. 30: Partly sunny skies are expected, with temperatures near 77 degrees and a 20% chance of showers. Friday night brings a 30% chance of showers and a low around 61 degrees.
Saturday, Oct. 31 — Halloween: Mostly cloudy conditions are expected, with temperatures reaching approximately 76 degrees and a 50% chance of showers. South winds could gust to 20 mph.
The National Weather Service indicates that another disturbance moving across the Plains may produce additional rainfall late in the week, with a low potential for thunderstorms. The supplied outlook does not establish a severe weather threat or provide reliable forecast details beyond Saturday.