Florida Weather Outlook: 60% Chance of Thunderstorms by Monday Afternoon — What Orlando Drivers Should Know

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Orlando, FL – Central Florida’s summer heat takes a stormy turn Monday as thunderstorms are expected to develop after 2 p.m., bringing a 60% chance of rain and potentially hazardous driving conditions across the Orlando metro, including the I-4 corridor.

According to the National Weather Service, the region will see mostly sunny skies early Monday, with highs near 91°F. But moisture-rich air from the Gulf will trigger afternoon storms, some of which could produce gusty winds and brief heavy downpours. Southwest winds at 5–10 mph will accompany the system. Residents should secure outdoor items, monitor local alerts, and avoid unnecessary travel during the afternoon commute.

By Monday night, storms could continue past 8 p.m. before skies turn mostly cloudy with lows around 76°F. West winds will calm to around 5 mph.

Tuesday brings more storm activity with a 60% chance of rain starting after 2 p.m. Highs again reach 91°F, with light winds and increased humidity. By Tuesday night, a slight cooling trend continues as lows dip to 75°F and another round of evening storms remains possible.

The pattern holds through Wednesday and Thursday, with daily highs near 91°F and thunderstorm chances staying at 70%. Nights remain warm and muggy with lows in the mid-70s.


📅 Five-Day Outlook for Orlando (July 7–12):

  • Monday: Mostly sunny early, then storms likely after 2 p.m. (High: 91°F / Low: 76°F)
  • Tuesday: Thunderstorms likely after 2 p.m. (High: 91°F / Low: 75°F)
  • Wednesday: Afternoon storms again possible. (High: 91°F / Low: 76°F)
  • Thursday: Strong chance of storms (70%). (High: 91°F / Low: 75°F)
  • Friday: Slightly drier, partly sunny. Isolated afternoon storms. (High: 92°F / Low: 75°F)

Storm risks continue into the weekend. Residents should prepare for daily lightning, brief flooding in poor drainage areas, and heat-related concerns. Updates will follow as new advisories are issued.

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