Weather
Western New York Weather: 90% Rain Chance Wednesday, Nov. 4 in Buffalo
Buffalo, NY – Buffalo residents can expect a warm November afternoon Wednesday, November 4, before widespread rain arrives overnight. Rain chances will climb to 90% Wednesday night, followed by breezy
By Wesley Grant · 2026-11-03T09:37:56.328Z
Buffalo, NY – Buffalo residents can expect a warm November afternoon Wednesday, November 4, before widespread rain arrives overnight. Rain chances will climb to 90% Wednesday night, followed by breezy conditions Thursday with wind gusts potentially reaching 30 mph as temperatures begin cooling toward the weekend.
According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, temperatures will reach approximately 69 degrees Tuesday, November 3, before climbing to 72 degrees Wednesday. Mostly sunny skies are expected Wednesday before showers move into western New York during the evening.
Rain Chances Reach 90% Wednesday Night The biggest weather change arrives Wednesday night, November 4, when showers are expected across Buffalo.
Forecasters place the precipitation chance at 90%, with rainfall amounts of less than one tenth of an inch possible.
South winds of 8–11 mph could gust as high as 22 mph, while overnight temperatures remain relatively mild near 59 degrees.
Residents traveling Wednesday evening or overnight should prepare for wet roads and potentially reduced visibility during periods of rainfall.
Gusty Winds Follow Thursday Thursday, November 5, brings a 30% chance of showers before 1 p.m., followed by partly sunny skies.
Temperatures will reach approximately 66 degrees, but southwest winds of 14–20 mph could gust as high as 30 mph.
The breezy conditions may be noticeable along exposed roads and open areas around Buffalo.
Thursday night will be mostly cloudy, with temperatures falling to around 51 degrees.
Friday, November 6, brings another 30% chance of showers after 1 p.m., with mostly cloudy skies and a high near 62 degrees.
Cooler Weekend Brings Additional Rain Chances Saturday, November 7, will be cooler, with a high near 56 degrees and a 50% chance of showers.
Sunday, November 8, remains partly sunny with a high near 56 degrees, followed by another chance of showers Sunday night.
By Monday, November 9, temperatures will reach approximately 54 degrees, with a 30% chance of precipitation.
The shift from Wednesday's forecast high of 72 degrees to Monday's 54 degrees represents an 18 degree drop in daytime temperatures.
Full Buffalo Weather Outlook: November 3–9, 2026 Tuesday, November 3 — Election Day: A slight chance of showers before 9 a.m., followed by gradually improving skies. High near 69°F with a 20% precipitation chance. South winds 8–13 mph. Tuesday night will be partly cloudy, with a low near 58°F. Wednesday, November 4: Mostly sunny with a high near 72°F. South winds 6–8 mph. Wednesday night brings showers with a 90% precipitation chance. Low near 59°F. South winds 8–11 mph, gusting up to 22 mph. Rainfall amounts below 0.10 inches possible. Thursday, November 5: A 30% chance of showers before 1 p.m., followed by partly sunny skies. High near 66°F. Breezy southwest winds 14–20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Thursday night will be mostly cloudy, with a low near 51°F. Friday, November 6: Mostly cloudy with a 30% chance of showers after 1 p.m. High near 62°F. Friday night brings a 40% chance of showers, with a low near 46°F. Saturday, November 7: Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of showers and a high near 56°F. Saturday night brings a 30% chance of showers, with a low near 41°F. Sunday, November 8: Partly sunny with a high near 56°F. Sunday night will be mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of showers and a low near 40°F. Monday, November 9: Partly sunny with a 30% chance of showers and a high near 54°F.