Weather
NY Weather Alert: Buffalo, NY 36° Cold, 25 MPH Gusts Nov 15–20
Buffalo, NY – Gray skies, damp pavement and temperatures hovering near 40 degrees are setting the stage for a changing November weather pattern across Western New York. The bigger story develops early
By Rachel Monroe · 2026-11-15T10:03:45.461Z
Buffalo, NY – Gray skies, damp pavement and temperatures hovering near 40 degrees are setting the stage for a changing November weather pattern across Western New York. The bigger story develops early this week, when chilly mornings give way to sunshine, gusty winds and temperatures climbing into the 50s.
According to the National Weather Service, Buffalo faces a cloudy Sunday, November 15, with afternoon temperatures reaching approximately 44 degrees.
Light rain was reported at Buffalo Niagara International Airport early Sunday, with temperatures near 39 degrees and northwest winds around 10 mph.
The latest outlook points toward improving conditions, although another cold night arrives before the warmer weather settles in.
Cold Temperatures Continue Before Monday's Warmup Clouds dominate Sunday, with northwest winds between 5 and 8 mph.
Temperatures fall toward 36 degrees Sunday night, bringing another chilly start for residents across Erie County.
While temperatures approach freezing, the supplied Buffalo outlook does not indicate accumulating snow or freezing precipitation.
Drivers traveling I 90, I 190 and Route 33 should remain alert for damp pavement and changing temperatures.
Monday brings another cloudy afternoon, but temperatures recover to approximately 49 degrees.
West winds remain relatively light, between 3 and 7 mph.
Monday night turns partly cloudy, with temperatures dropping toward 38 degrees.
Tuesday Brings Sunshine and Stronger Winds Tuesday, November 17, marks a noticeable improvement across Buffalo and surrounding communities.
Sunshine returns as afternoon temperatures climb toward 53 degrees.
However, southwest winds increase to 7–13 mph, with gusts reaching 25 mph.
Those gusts could become noticeable on exposed roadways, bridges and open areas near Lake Erie.
Drivers of high profile vehicles should remain attentive, particularly along elevated stretches of interstate highways.
Tuesday night brings mostly clear skies and lows around 40 degrees.
Wednesday Continues the Warming Trend By Wednesday, November 18, temperatures climb toward 55 degrees under sunny skies.
Southwest winds continue at 7–11 mph, with occasional gusts reaching 21 mph.
The combination of sunshine and milder temperatures offers a noticeable break from Buffalo's colder November mornings.
Wednesday night remains partly cloudy, with temperatures around 41 degrees.
Late Week Temperatures Climb Higher Thursday brings mostly sunny skies and highs near 57 degrees.
Friday remains mostly sunny, with temperatures reaching approximately 56 degrees.
No snow accumulation, tornado threat or severe thunderstorm risk is indicated in the supplied local outlook.
Buffalo's Five Day Weather Outlook Monday, November 16: Cloudy, high 49°F. Partly cloudy Monday night, low 38°F. Tuesday, November 17: Sunny, high 53°F. Southwest gusts to 25 mph. Mostly clear Tuesday night, low 40°F. Wednesday, November 18: Sunny, high 55°F. Southwest gusts to 21 mph. Partly cloudy Wednesday night, low 41°F. Thursday, November 19: Mostly sunny, high 57°F. Mostly cloudy Thursday night, low 46°F. Friday, November 20: Mostly sunny, high 56°F. Mostly cloudy Friday night, low 42°F. Looking Ahead: November 21 and Beyond Saturday, November 21, could bring another mild afternoon, with mostly sunny skies and highs near 61 degrees.
That would place temperatures approximately 17 degrees above Sunday's expected high.
Specific temperature and precipitation probabilities for the following six to 10 days were not included in the supplied outlook.
For now, Buffalo's biggest weather changes involve warmer afternoons and increasing southwest winds rather than accumulating snow.
Are you enjoying the November warmup, or are you preparing for Buffalo's first major winter weather event? Tell us what conditions you're seeing across Western New York!