Weather
NY Weather Alert: Buffalo 90% Rain, Snow Nov 10-14
NEW YORK — Wind whipped leaves, soaking rain and the possibility of November snow could bring a dramatic weather shift to Buffalo this week.
By Mara Ellison · 2026-11-10T09:02:37.537Z
NEW YORK — Wind whipped leaves, soaking rain and the possibility of November snow could bring a dramatic weather shift to Buffalo this week.
Temperatures reaching 59 degrees Tuesday are expected to tumble toward freezing by Friday night, with snow showers possible Saturday.
According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, rain chances climb to 90% Thursday before colder air introduces a rain and snow threat.
The changing conditions could affect Buffalo, Erie County and surrounding Western New York communities.
Gusty Winds Arrive Before the Rain Tuesday brings improving sunshine and temperatures reaching approximately 59 degrees.
However, west winds of 17 to 21 mph could produce gusts reaching 34 mph.
Loose leaves and lightweight outdoor decorations may blow around, especially in exposed areas.
Wednesday, Veterans Day, brings mostly sunny skies initially, with highs near 55 degrees.
A 30% chance of showers develops after 4 p.m.
Residents should use the remaining dry periods to clear gutters and secure outdoor items.
Thursday Brings 90% Rain Chance Thursday, November 12, carries the week's highest precipitation probability.
Rain is expected, with a 90% chance and temperatures reaching approximately 49 degrees.
North winds of 7 to 11 mph could produce gusts reaching 22 mph.
The National Weather Service indicates less than one tenth of an inch of new precipitation is possible Thursday.
Drivers traveling Interstate 90, Interstate 190 and Route 33 should prepare for wet pavement and reduced visibility during showers.
Thursday evening remains unsettled, with a 70% chance of showers, mainly before 1 a.m. Friday.
Temperatures fall toward 36 degrees.
Friday Brings Colder Air and Snow Potential Friday, November 13, brings mostly cloudy skies and highs near 42 degrees.
A 40% chance of showers continues, with north winds around 8 to 10 mph.
By Friday night, temperatures fall toward 32 degrees.
Rain and snow showers become possible before 1 a.m. Saturday, followed by periods of mixed precipitation.
Snow showers may briefly occur between 1 a.m. and 4 a.m.
The precipitation probability remains 40%.
Although accumulation amounts are not specified, temperatures near freezing warrant attention.
Wet roads could develop slick patches where pavement temperatures fall sufficiently.
Saturday Brings Another Chance of Snow Saturday, November 14, remains mostly cloudy, with highs near 44 degrees.
A 30% chance of precipitation continues.
Rain and snow showers are possible before 10 a.m., followed by a chance of snow showers until approximately 1 p.m.
Drivers should monitor conditions on bridges, ramps and untreated roads.
The forecast does not establish significant snow accumulation or a widespread flash freeze event.
Buffalo Five Day Weather Outlook: Nov. 10 14 Tuesday, Nov. 10: Becoming sunny and breezy, high 59°F. West wind gusts up to 34 mph. Partly cloudy Tuesday night, low 39°F. Wednesday, Nov. 11: Mostly sunny, high 55°F. Showers possible after 4 p.m., chance 30%. Rain Wednesday night, low 41°F, chance 80%. Thursday, Nov. 12: Rain, high 49°F. Precipitation chance 90%. North wind gusts up to 22 mph. Thursday night low 36°F, showers likely. Friday, Nov. 13: Mostly cloudy, high 42°F. Showers possible, chance 40%. Friday night low 32°F, with rain and snow showers possible. Saturday, Nov. 14: Mostly cloudy, high 44°F. Rain and snow showers possible during the morning, chance 30%. Saturday night low 33°F. Looking Ahead: Nov. 15 16 Sunday brings mostly cloudy skies and highs near 46 degrees.
Sunday night temperatures fall toward 34 degrees.
Monday looks partly sunny, with highs near 48 degrees.
As Thanksgiving approaches, additional cold air outbreaks could increase opportunities for wintry precipitation across Western New York.
However, the supplied outlook does not establish a specific Thanksgiving snowstorm or significant accumulation.
No tornado threat is indicated in the local outlook.
Residents should continue monitoring National Weather Service updates as precipitation timing and temperatures evolve.
Traveling around Buffalo this weekend? Tell us whether you're seeing rain, snowflakes or slick roads in your neighborhood!