Weather
Buffalo, NY Weather Nov. 5-8: 73° Warmth Drops to 38° With Weekend Showers
NEW YORK — Warm November air reaching 73 degrees in Buffalo will give way to gusty winds, repeated rain chances and temperatures falling into the upper 30s by Saturday night, Nov. 7.
By Nolan Pierce · 2026-11-04T09:10:05.141Z
NEW YORK — Warm November air reaching 73 degrees in Buffalo will give way to gusty winds, repeated rain chances and temperatures falling into the upper 30s by Saturday night, Nov. 7.
The National Weather Service in Buffalo expects showers to become widespread Wednesday night, with a 90% precipitation chance before additional rain returns Friday and Saturday.
The changing weather pattern could bring a 35 degree difference between Wednesday's afternoon high and Saturday night's expected low.
For western New York residents, the biggest changes arrive Thursday as winds strengthen and temperatures begin their downward slide.
Thursday, Nov. 5: Wind Gusts Could Reach 32 MPH Thursday brings breezy conditions, with southwest winds reaching 16 to 21 mph and gusts as high as 32 mph.
Temperatures will reach approximately 64 degrees, nine degrees below Wednesday's expected high.
A 30% chance of showers remains, mainly before 7 a.m., before clouds gradually give way to sunshine.
Wednesday night's earlier rainfall carries a 90% precipitation chance, with one tenth to one quarter inch possible.
Drivers should watch for wet pavement and gusty crosswinds, particularly along exposed stretches of I 90 and other open roadways.
Thursday night brings another 30% chance of showers, with temperatures falling to approximately 50 degrees.
Friday Into Saturday: Rain Chances Increase Again Friday, Nov. 6, brings mostly cloudy skies, a high near 60 degrees and a 50% chance of showers.
Rain becomes more likely after 1 a.m. Saturday, when precipitation chances increase to 70%.
Saturday's forecast calls for a 60% chance of showers and temperatures reaching only 53 degrees.
That represents a 20 degree drop from Wednesday's expected high.
Showers could continue into Saturday evening before precipitation chances decrease to 30% ahead of 1 a.m. Sunday.
Saturday night's low falls to approximately 38 degrees.
While temperatures will approach the mid 30s, the current forecast does not indicate freezing precipitation, snow or icy roads.
Residents planning weekend travel should monitor changing rain conditions and keep jackets handy.
Buffalo Five Day Weather Outlook: Nov. 4 8 Wednesday, Nov. 4: Partly sunny, high 73°. Showers after 4 a.m. Thursday, with a 90% rain chance Wednesday night. Low 58°. Thursday, Nov. 5: Breezy, high 64°. Gusts up to 32 mph. Rain chance 30%. Thursday night low 50°. Friday, Nov. 6: Mostly cloudy, high 60°. Rain chance 50%. Showers likely Friday night, with a 70% chance. Low 43°. Saturday, Nov. 7: Showers likely, high 53°. Rain chance 60%. Saturday night low 38°, with a 30% chance of showers. Sunday, Nov. 8: Partly sunny, high 54°. Partly cloudy Sunday night, low 38°. Looking Ahead: Cooler November Weather Continues Sunday offers improving conditions, with partly sunny skies and temperatures near 54 degrees.
Monday remains mostly sunny with another high near 54 degrees, followed by a low around 41 degrees.
Tuesday brings mostly sunny skies and a high near 57 degrees.
Although November marks the transition toward winter weather across western New York, the supplied outlook does not establish any specific snowfall or freeze threat.
For now, Buffalo residents should prepare for Thursday's gusty winds, another round of weekend rain and considerably cooler temperatures by Saturday night.
Traveling through Buffalo this weekend? Tell us what rain and road conditions you're seeing in your neighborhood.