Weather
Central New York Weather Outlook: Warm November Oct. 26–Nov. 1
Binghamton, NY – Residents across New York's Southern Tier could see a warmer than normal transition into November, even as near freezing overnight temperatures bring an unmistakable reminder of fall
By Lena Wood · 2026-10-19T08:11:55.968Z
Binghamton, NY – Residents across New York's Southern Tier could see a warmer than normal transition into November, even as near freezing overnight temperatures bring an unmistakable reminder of fall this week. Federal forecasters favor above average temperatures across Binghamton, Broome County and much of central New York during the final days of October and the opening day of November.
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the eight to 14 day outlook issued Oct. 18 covers Monday, Oct. 26, through Sunday, Nov. 1, 2026 . The temperature outlook places the Southern Tier within a broad region favoring above normal temperatures, while the precipitation map suggests a tendency toward drier than normal conditions across much of central and western New York.
Warmer Than Normal Pattern Could Extend Into November NOAA's temperature outlook indicates approximately a 60% to 70% probability of above normal temperatures across portions of central New York, including the greater Binghamton region.
The pattern also extends across nearby areas, including Cortland, Norwich, Ithaca and Syracuse, although the national scale map does not establish precise probability differences between individual communities.
The outlook is especially relevant for the Southern Tier, where late October typically brings increasingly chilly mornings and the possibility of freezing overnight temperatures.
Above normal temperatures during Oct. 26–Nov. 1 would mean the period's average temperature is more likely to exceed the historical norm. It does not guarantee unusually warm afternoons every day or eliminate the possibility of freezing nights.
Near Freezing Nights Arrive Before the Warmer Outlook The immediate forecast offers a sharper contrast.
The National Weather Service forecast displayed for Pratts Hollow, within the broader central New York region, calls for sunny skies Monday, Oct. 19, with a high near 65 degrees.
Temperatures are expected to fall to approximately 34 degrees Monday night before sunshine returns Tuesday with a high near 62 degrees.
Tuesday night could be colder, with a low around 32 degrees, the freezing mark.
Wednesday and Thursday are forecast to reach approximately 59 degrees, while overnight temperatures remain in the lower to middle 30s.
Friday night could drop to around 30 degrees, followed by a sunny Saturday with a high near 59 degrees.
These readings apply to the Pratts Hollow forecast area, not every location in Binghamton or Broome County. Local temperatures may differ, particularly in valleys and higher elevation communities.
Residents with sensitive outdoor plants should monitor local forecasts for freezing temperatures. The supplied forecast does not establish an official frost or freeze warning.
Below Normal Precipitation Also Favored NOAA's precipitation outlook favors below normal precipitation across much of central New York during Oct. 26–Nov. 1.
The Binghamton region appears within an area showing approximately a 33% to 40% probability of below normal precipitation, with stronger dry signals farther west in parts of the state.
That suggests a somewhat drier pattern is favored, but it does not guarantee a rain free week.
For residents planning outdoor work, late season recreation or travel, the extended outlook offers some encouragement. However, shorter range forecasts will be needed to establish actual rainfall timing and daily temperatures.
The contrast between this week's chilly overnight lows and the favored above normal temperature pattern next week highlights how quickly conditions can change during autumn in central New York.
As November approaches, updated forecasts should clarify whether the milder pattern brings noticeably warmer afternoons or simply keeps average temperatures above seasonal expectations.
Would you welcome warmer weather into November, or are you ready for colder temperatures across the Southern Tier?