Weather
Albuquerque, NM Flood Risk Oct. 21-22: Up to 1 Inch Per Hour
Albuquerque, NM – A powerful Pacific storm system is expected to bring heavy rainfall, possible flash flooding and isolated severe thunderstorms to portions of New Mexico Wednesday, October 21, throug
By Lauren Beckett · 2026-10-20T10:41:56.950Z
Albuquerque, NM – A powerful Pacific storm system is expected to bring heavy rainfall, possible flash flooding and isolated severe thunderstorms to portions of New Mexico Wednesday, October 21, through Thursday, October 22, raising concerns for residents, motorists and communities near flood prone areas.
According to the National Weather Service in Albuquerque, mostly dry conditions Tuesday will give way to widespread showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday, with western and central New Mexico facing some of the greatest flooding concerns.
Wednesday, October 21, carries a Level 2 of 4 excessive rainfall risk across portions of northwestern New Mexico , including areas near Gallup and Grants.
Rainfall rates could reach 1 inch per hour, potentially flooding urban streets, arroyos, low water crossings and locations with poor drainage.
The Weather Service estimates Farmington has a 60% chance of receiving at least half an inch of rain Wednesday, while Gallup has a 45% chance.
Thursday, October 22, brings another significant rainfall threat , with the Level 2 of 4 excessive rainfall risk expanding across western and central New Mexico.
Forecast probabilities show Farmington with a 97% chance of receiving at least half an inch Thursday, while Gallup has a 95% chance. Albuquerque has a 50% chance.
Farmington also faces a 60% probability of receiving at least 1.5 inches Thursday.
Severe thunderstorms are another concern Wednesday and Thursday, particularly across western portions of the state.
The Weather Service identifies large hail and damaging wind gusts as the primary severe weather hazards. A brief tornado cannot be ruled out, with the highest potential in far western New Mexico.
Storms could move northward at 25 to 35 mph.
Residents should avoid flooded roadways, monitor changing weather conditions and prepare for possible Flash Flood Warnings.
Never attempt to drive through flooded crossings.