Weather
Manchester, New Hampshire Weather: November Outlook Oct. 26–Nov. 1
Manchester, NH – New Hampshire could experience a warmer than normal transition into November, with federal forecasters favoring above average temperatures across much of the state during the final da
By Caleb Mercer · 2026-10-19T08:13:57.009Z
Manchester, NH – New Hampshire could experience a warmer than normal transition into November, with federal forecasters favoring above average temperatures across much of the state during the final days of October. The extended outlook offers the possibility of lingering fall warmth for Manchester, Nashua, Concord and surrounding communities, even as overnight temperatures approach freezing during the current week.
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the eight to 14 day outlook issued Oct. 18 covers Monday, Oct. 26, through Sunday, Nov. 1, 2026 . The national temperature map favors above normal conditions across New Hampshire, while the accompanying precipitation outlook indicates a tendency toward below normal precipitation across much of the state.
Warmer Than Normal Temperatures Favored Into November NOAA's temperature outlook places New Hampshire within a broad region favoring above normal temperatures, with probabilities generally around 40% to 50% across much of the state.
The warmer than normal signal extends across southern New Hampshire, including Manchester, Nashua and Concord, as well as farther north toward the Lakes Region and White Mountains.
Although the outlook favors warmth relative to seasonal averages, it does not establish exact afternoon highs or overnight lows.
For southern New Hampshire, the forecast is notable because late October and early November typically bring colder mornings, shorter daylight hours and an increasing likelihood of freezing temperatures.
Northern and higher elevation communities may still experience considerably colder conditions than Manchester, even when average temperatures are above normal.
The outlook describes the seven day temperature average rather than promising unusually warm conditions every day.
Manchester Faces Chilly Mornings Before the Extended Outlook The immediate National Weather Service forecast shows that colder overnight temperatures remain an important part of New Hampshire's weather.
Manchester Airport reported a temperature of 35 degrees early Monday, Oct. 19, with fair skies and calm winds.
The local forecast calls for patchy fog before 8 a.m. Monday, followed by sunshine and a high near 61 degrees.
Tuesday is expected to be partly sunny with temperatures reaching approximately 63 degrees, while Wednesday should be sunny with a high near 57 degrees.
Thursday brings another sunny afternoon with a high around 62 degrees.
Overnight temperatures remain considerably colder, with lows near 36 degrees Monday and Tuesday nights and approximately 34 degrees Wednesday night.
Friday night could fall to around 32 degrees, the freezing mark, before sunshine returns Saturday with a high near 57 degrees.
These temperatures apply to Oct. 19–25 and should not be confused with the later Oct. 26–Nov. 1 outlook.
Below Normal Precipitation Favored Across New Hampshire NOAA's precipitation outlook places much of New Hampshire within an area favoring below normal precipitation during the extended forecast period.
The map suggests probabilities generally around 33% to 50%, with the signal varying between southern and northern portions of the state.
This indicates that total precipitation during Oct. 26–Nov. 1 is more likely to finish below its historical average, but it does not guarantee a completely dry week.
For residents planning outdoor activities, late season yard work or travel, the combination of favored warmth and a drier precipitation tendency could be welcome news.
However, shorter range forecasts will be needed to determine individual rain chances, overnight temperatures and whether any colder periods interrupt the broader pattern.
The most important takeaway is that New Hampshire could begin November with temperatures averaging above normal, even as freezing nights remain possible during the seasonal transition.
Would you welcome another stretch of mild fall weather in New Hampshire, or are you ready for colder November temperatures?