Weather
Reno, Nevada Weather: November Shift Outlook Oct. 26–Nov. 1
Reno, NV – Nevada residents are heading toward a significant late October weather change, with…
By Audrey Sloan · 2026-10-19T09:43:25.044Z
Reno, NV – Nevada residents are heading toward a significant late October weather change, with Reno forecast to fall from a sunny 74 degrees Monday to just 57 degrees Thursday as rain becomes increasingly likely. The shift comes ahead of NOAA's Oct. 26–Nov. 1 outlook, which favors above normal precipitation across much of Nevada while showing a more complicated temperature pattern heading into November.
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the eight to 14 day temperature and precipitation outlooks issued Sunday, Oct. 18, indicate that Nevada sits near an important dividing line between cooler conditions favored along the Pacific Coast and warmer conditions favored farther east. The outlook valid Oct. 26–Nov. 1 also favors above normal precipitation across the state.
Reno faces a sharp cooldown and increasing rain chances The National Weather Service forecast for Reno shows Monday beginning with sunshine and a high near 74 degrees. Tuesday brings partly sunny conditions, a high near 68 and a 20% chance of rain developing after 2 p.m.
By Wednesday, conditions become considerably more unsettled. Showers are likely, with a possible thunderstorm during the afternoon. The forecast calls for a high near 63 degrees and a 70% chance of precipitation.
Wednesday night carries the week's highest listed precipitation probability at 90%, with showers and a possible thunderstorm before 11 p.m., followed by rain likely later in the night.
Thursday is expected to remain wet, with rain likely and a high near 57 degrees.
That would represent a 17 degree decline in afternoon temperatures between Monday and Thursday.
Overnight temperatures also trend lower, falling from around 42 degrees early in the week to 34 degrees Thursday night and approximately 30 degrees Friday night.
Those colder overnight conditions could create frost or freezing concerns for exposed plants, although the supplied forecast does not establish an official freeze warning.
Nevada sits between two different temperature patterns The longer range NOAA temperature outlook shows Nevada near the transition between below normal temperatures favored farther west and above normal temperatures favored across the interior United States.
Northern and western Nevada, including the Reno region, are closer to the cooler side of that transition, while eastern Nevada trends toward the warmer side.
This distinction matters because the statewide outlook does not support describing every Nevada community as facing the same temperature departure.
Las Vegas and southern Nevada also sit in a different part of the temperature pattern than Reno, making a single statewide cooling forecast misleading.
The precipitation outlook is more consistent. Above normal precipitation is favored across much of Nevada during Oct. 26–Nov. 1, although the map does not predict specific rainfall totals or daily storm timing.
What the November outlook means for residents For Reno and surrounding Washoe County communities, the most immediate weather concern is the rain and cooling expected Wednesday and Thursday, followed by chilly overnight temperatures.
The extended outlook suggests Nevada could continue experiencing an active precipitation pattern as November begins, even though the temperature signal varies geographically.
Residents planning travel across northern Nevada should monitor updated forecasts, particularly where mountain elevations could experience different conditions from lower elevation communities. The supplied outlook does not establish specific snow levels or accumulations.
Importantly, the rain forecast for Wednesday and Thursday is separate from NOAA's Oct. 26–Nov. 1 outlook. The extended maps do not establish that the same weather system will continue into November.
As October winds down, updated National Weather Service forecasts will provide greater detail about individual days, potential precipitation and nighttime temperatures.
Are you ready for colder fall weather in Nevada, or would you rather keep the sunshine and 70 degree afternoons?