Weather
Springfield, MO Storm Alert: 85% Rain Chance Early Tuesday Nov 3
Springfield, MO – Showers and thunderstorms are expected to spread across southwest Missouri and southeast Kansas late Monday, November 2, into Tuesday, November 3, with rain probabilities reaching 95
By Audrey Sloan · 2026-10-31T20:02:08.773Z
Springfield, MO – Showers and thunderstorms are expected to spread across southwest Missouri and southeast Kansas late Monday, November 2, into Tuesday, November 3, with rain probabilities reaching 95% in some communities and a low risk of isolated severe storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts.
According to the National Weather Service in Springfield, Missouri, the region is under a marginal severe thunderstorm risk, classified as Level 1 out of 5, as a storm system approaches early next week.
Forecasters have high confidence that most communities will receive rainfall, although specific precipitation amounts remain uncertain.
Rain chances are expected to increase significantly Monday afternoon and evening, with the highest probabilities developing overnight into Tuesday morning.
Joplin, Missouri, could see rain chances reach 95% Monday evening before decreasing to approximately 80% early Tuesday.
Springfield is forecast to reach an 85% chance of rain Monday evening, with probabilities remaining elevated overnight.
Farther north, Nevada and Bolivar could experience rain chances reaching 95% during portions of the storm system.
In southeast Kansas, Pittsburg could see precipitation probabilities climb to 95% Monday evening.
Other Missouri communities, including Branson, Lebanon, Rolla, West Plains and Mountain Grove, face increasing rain chances Monday night into Tuesday.
The National Weather Service warns that an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm could develop, with damaging wind gusts representing the primary severe weather concern.
However, the overall severe storm threat remains low, and widespread severe weather is not currently indicated.
Residents planning travel or outdoor activities Monday evening should prepare for potentially wet conditions and monitor updated forecasts.
Drivers may encounter reduced visibility and slick roadways during periods of heavier rainfall.
The National Weather Service encourages residents to remain weather aware as forecasters continue refining rainfall amounts, storm timing and potential severe weather impacts.
Rain chances are expected to gradually decrease Tuesday night into Wednesday, November 4.