Weather
Missouri Weather Nov. 7-8: Frost Chances Reach 99% in Ozarks
SPRINGFIELD, MO – A widespread frost and freeze threat is developing across southwest Missouri and the Ozarks this weekend, with temperatures expected to fall into the upper 20s and lower 30s Saturday
By Wesley Grant · 2026-11-05T10:14:15.226Z
SPRINGFIELD, MO – A widespread frost and freeze threat is developing across southwest Missouri and the Ozarks this weekend, with temperatures expected to fall into the upper 20s and lower 30s Saturday and Sunday mornings, November 7 8.
According to the National Weather Service in Springfield, confidence is increasing that frost and freezing conditions will affect portions of the region, potentially damaging sensitive and uncovered vegetation.
Frost Chances Reach 99% Saturday The latest National Weather Service forecast shows significant frost probabilities across portions of southwest Missouri and the surrounding Ozarks Saturday morning.
Forecast frost chances include:
Springfield: 61% Bolivar: 77% Osage Beach: 59% Nevada: 73% Pittsburg, Kansas: 58% Joplin: 42% Branson: 46% Some eastern Ozarks locations face frost probabilities exceeding 90%, with isolated forecast areas approaching 99%.
The National Weather Service expects Saturday morning temperatures to range from approximately 29 to 36 degrees across the region.
Another Cold Morning Expected Sunday The frost threat continues Sunday, November 8, with temperatures expected to remain cold enough for additional frost development.
Sunday morning frost probabilities include approximately 56% in Springfield, 68% in Bolivar and 41% near Osage Beach.
Some eastern Ozarks communities face probabilities approaching 100%.
Overnight lows are forecast to range from approximately 30 to 36 degrees Sunday morning.
Residents with sensitive plants, gardens or outdoor vegetation should consider protective measures before the weekend.
Light Rain Before Weekend Cold Ahead of the colder conditions, Thursday afternoon temperatures are expected to reach 59 to 68 degrees across the region.
Light rain chances of 10% to 30% develop late Thursday afternoon into the evening as a cold front approaches.
Overnight temperatures Thursday will fall into the 37 to 44 degree range, with areas of light rain transitioning to drizzle.
Cooler, drier conditions are expected during the weekend before temperatures gradually warm early next week.
Residents should monitor updated National Weather Service forecasts for changes in frost probabilities and potential freeze related alerts.