Weather
Minnesota Weather: Wet Start Gives Way to Drier Nov. 8–14 Pattern
MINNEAPOLIS — A mild start to November will quickly turn wet across the Twin Cities, with rain chances reaching 100% Monday and Monday night before cooler temperatures settle in through the remainder
By Erin Vale · 2026-11-01T10:29:37.933Z
MINNEAPOLIS — A mild start to November will quickly turn wet across the Twin Cities, with rain chances reaching 100% Monday and Monday night before cooler temperatures settle in through the remainder of the first week.
The National Weather Service forecast for Minneapolis calls for partly sunny skies and a high near 68 degrees Sunday, Nov. 1 . Rain chances begin increasing late Sunday night before a much wetter Monday arrives.
Rain Becomes Widespread Monday Rain is expected Monday, with showers and a possible thunderstorm developing during the afternoon. The Weather Service places precipitation chances at 100% , while the high reaches only around 61.
Southeast winds increase to 10–15 mph with gusts near 30 mph. Monday night remains wet with another 100% precipitation chance , including the possibility of thunderstorms. Temperatures stay mild near 57.
Rain continues Tuesday with a 90% chance , while the high reaches around 64. Additional showers and thunderstorms remain possible before conditions gradually begin improving Tuesday night.
Cooler 50s Follow Nov. 3 The first meaningful cooldown arrives behind the wetter system.
Wednesday carries a 50% rain chance with a high near 56, followed by lows dropping into the mid 40s Wednesday night.
Thursday reaches only around 55, Friday near 53 and Saturday approximately 54. That represents a substantial change from Sunday's upper 60s warmth, although the cooler stretch does not necessarily signal the beginning of sustained winter conditions.
For Minneapolis, the first week progression is clear: 68 Sunday, widespread rain Monday and Tuesday, then highs mostly in the 50s from Wednesday through Saturday.
Warm, Drier Signal Nov. 8–14 The broader outlook becomes particularly interesting after that cooler first week finish.
NOAA's November precipitation outlook favors above normal precipitation across portions of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest, but its separate Nov. 8–14 outlook shifts toward below normal precipitation across a broad region that includes much of the Upper Midwest.
Temperatures, meanwhile, remain favored above normal during the first half of November. The regional guidance identifies very warm first half conditions with a potentially drier Nov. 8–14 period as the primary Upper Midwest pattern.
That does not mean Minneapolis will suddenly return to 70 degrees or remain completely dry. CPC guidance describes average temperature and total precipitation tendencies across the seven day period rather than exact daily forecasts.
For Minnesota, the larger November question therefore remains: when will the first sustained cold — and a true taste of winter — finally take hold?
The pattern will be worth watching as Thanksgiving and holiday travel season move closer.