Weather
Massachusetts Weather Outlook: November Warmth Oct. 26–Nov. 1
Boston, MA – Massachusetts could experience a warmer than normal transition into November, even as Boston residents face chilly mornings, gusty coastal winds and fluctuating temperatures during the pr
By Natalie Brooks · 2026-10-19T08:23:37.046Z
Boston, MA – Massachusetts could experience a warmer than normal transition into November, even as Boston residents face chilly mornings, gusty coastal winds and fluctuating temperatures during the preceding week. Federal forecasters favor above average temperatures across much of New England from Oct. 26 through Nov. 1, suggesting that fall warmth could linger beyond the final days of October.
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the eight to 14 day outlook issued Oct. 18, 2026, covers Monday, Oct. 26, through Sunday, Nov. 1. The national outlook favors above normal temperatures across Massachusetts, while a separate precipitation map indicates below normal rainfall is favored across much of New England.
Massachusetts Favors Warmer November Start The temperature outlook places Massachusetts within a broad area favoring above normal temperatures, extending across southern New England and into neighboring northeastern states.
The probability signal is generally modest compared with the stronger warmth favored across portions of the Midwest.
Eastern Massachusetts, including Boston, Cambridge, Quincy and the North Shore, appears within an area showing approximately a 40% to 50% probability of above normal temperatures.
Western Massachusetts also favors above normal temperatures, although the national map does not provide enough detail to establish precise differences between individual communities.
For Boston residents, the outlook is notable because late October and early November typically bring shorter days, cooler afternoons and increasingly chilly overnight temperatures.
However, the extended outlook does not predict exact highs or lows. Above normal temperatures could mean a modest departure from seasonal averages rather than a return to summerlike warmth.
The forecast also does not rule out occasional cold mornings or brief cooler periods during the seven day window.
Below Normal Precipitation Favored Across New England NOAA's precipitation outlook shows Massachusetts within a region favoring below normal precipitation during Oct. 26–Nov. 1.
The national map suggests a modest dry signal across much of southern New England, with probabilities generally around 33% to 40%.
Parts of northern New England show a stronger below normal precipitation tendency.
For Massachusetts, the outlook suggests total precipitation during the seven day period is more likely to finish below historical averages.
That does not guarantee dry conditions every day or eliminate the possibility of rain.
Residents planning outdoor activities should remember that the outlook describes total precipitation across an entire week, not individual daily rainfall chances.
Boston Faces Gusty Winds Before Extended Outlook Before the warmer than normal November outlook begins, the National Weather Service forecasts several days of changing temperatures across Boston.
Monday, Oct. 19, is expected to be sunny with a high near 58 degrees.
Tuesday brings partly sunny skies and a high near 60 degrees, although north winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
Wednesday looks cooler, with a high near 54 degrees and northeast winds potentially gusting to 26 mph.
Thursday should rebound to approximately 61 degrees, followed by a sunny Friday with a high near 55 degrees.
Weekend temperatures are forecast to reach around 57 degrees Saturday and 62 degrees Sunday.
Separately, the Weather Prediction Center's Oct. 19 discussion highlights a developing coastal system affecting portions of the Mid Atlantic and Northeast through early Wednesday, Oct. 21. Coastal showers and hazardous marine conditions are regional concerns, but the supplied Boston forecast does not establish a specific coastal flooding threat for the city.
Those near term developments are separate from the Oct. 26–Nov. 1 outlook.
For Massachusetts residents, the longer range forecast favors a relatively mild beginning to November, with a modest tendency toward below normal precipitation.
Updated local forecasts will clarify whether individual afternoons become noticeably warmer and how coastal conditions evolve.
Would you welcome another stretch of mild fall weather in Massachusetts, or are you ready for colder November temperatures?