Weather
Florida Weather: Tallahassee Rain and Storms Nov. 1-5, Thanksgiving Travel Outlook
TALLAHASSEE, Florida – North Florida is heading into November with temperatures reaching the lower 80s, scattered rain chances and the possibility of thunderstorms, while the longer range Thanksgiving
By Cameron Hayes · 2026-10-31T08:26:48.928Z
TALLAHASSEE, Florida – North Florida is heading into November with temperatures reaching the lower 80s, scattered rain chances and the possibility of thunderstorms, while the longer range Thanksgiving holiday travel outlook remains uncertain.
According to the National Weather Service in Tallahassee, temperatures could reach 83 degrees Saturday, Oct. 31, before showers become more likely Sunday. Rain chances reach 50% Sunday, with additional opportunities for showers and thunderstorms returning during the middle of next week.
North Florida Rain Chances Reach 50% Sunday Before Another Warmup Saturday brings mostly cloudy skies and a high near 83 degrees in Tallahassee. East winds of 5 10 mph could gust to 20 mph.
Saturday night remains mostly cloudy, with temperatures falling to around 67 degrees. A slight chance of showers develops after 5 a.m., with precipitation chances at 10%.
Sunday brings a more noticeable change, with cloudy skies, a high near 78 degrees and a 50% chance of showers. Thunderstorms are also possible after 11 a.m.
Rainfall amounts between one tenth and one quarter of an inch are forecast, although thunderstorms could produce higher amounts. Northeast winds around 15 mph could gust to 25 mph.
Sunday night carries a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, with temperatures falling to around 65 degrees.
Monday brings improving conditions, with partly sunny skies and a high near 80 degrees. Tuesday warms to around 83 degrees under partly sunny skies.
Another round of unsettled weather becomes possible Wednesday, with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high near 82 degrees.
Thursday maintains a 40% chance of showers, with temperatures again reaching around 82 degrees. Friday is expected to be mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
Florida Thanksgiving Holiday Travel Nov. 14 27: Rain or Snow? The early November pattern arrives as Florida approaches the Thanksgiving holiday travel season, when rain and thunderstorms can influence outdoor plans and driving conditions.
Thanksgiving falls Thursday, Nov. 26, but the available National Weather Service forecast for Tallahassee only extends through Friday, Nov. 6.
That forecast does not establish whether rain, snow or dry conditions will affect North Florida during Nov. 14 27.
Snow is exceptionally uncommon in Tallahassee, and the current forecast contains no indication of winter precipitation. The more immediate weather concern is periodic rain and thunderstorms during the first week of November.
No specific Thanksgiving travel disruptions or holiday period rainfall totals are identified in the supplied forecast.
Tallahassee Five Day Weather Forecast Sunday, Nov. 1: Cloudy, high near 78°F. A 50% chance of showers, with thunderstorms possible after 11 a.m. A 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight, low around 65°F. Monday, Nov. 2: Partly sunny, high near 80°F. Mostly cloudy overnight, low around 64°F. Tuesday, Nov. 3: Partly sunny, high near 83°F. Mostly cloudy overnight, low around 65°F. Wednesday, Nov. 4: Partly sunny, high near 82°F, with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms. A 20% chance overnight, low around 64°F. Thursday, Nov. 5: Mostly sunny, high near 82°F, with a 40% chance of showers. Partly cloudy overnight, low around 59°F. North Florida residents can expect warm temperatures and intermittent rain chances through Thursday before mostly sunny weather returns Friday. Whether the Thanksgiving travel period brings additional rain or remains dry will depend on updated forecasts closer to Nov. 14 27.