Weather
South Florida Weather: Up to 5–7 Inches Possible in Isolated Areas in Miami
MIAMI — Heavy rain, thunderstorms and flooding concerns will dominate the start of November across South Florida, with a Flood Watch covering Miami Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties through Monday
By Audrey Sloan · 2026-11-01T09:28:00.158Z
MIAMI — Heavy rain, thunderstorms and flooding concerns will dominate the start of November across South Florida, with a Flood Watch covering Miami Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties through Monday afternoon.
The National Weather Service in Miami says repeated bands of rain could produce 3 to 5 inches through Monday along portions of Florida's southeast coast , while isolated locations could receive 5 to 7 inches depending on where the heaviest bands develop. Rainfall rates could exceed 2 inches per hour in stronger storms.
Flooding Risk Through Monday The primary concern is urban and street flooding, particularly in low lying and flood prone locations. The Weather Service said isolated to scattered flash flooding will also be possible as showers and storms repeatedly move across the same areas.
Miami itself has an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms Sunday, Nov. 1 , with a high near 82. The forecast becomes even wetter Monday, when rain chances rise to 90% and showers and thunderstorms remain likely with a high near 81.
Strong onshore flow adds another problem along the coast. A Coastal Flood Advisory and Rip Current Statement remain in effect through 7 p.m. Monday, Nov. 2 , with minor to moderate coastal flooding possible in coastal Miami Dade County. Flooding of lots, parks and roads is possible, while dangerous rip currents could affect even experienced swimmers.
Rain Chances Ease After Tuesday The unsettled pattern lingers Tuesday with a 70% chance of showers and thunderstorms and a high near 83. Rain chances then fall to 40% Tuesday night and 30% Wednesday, when temperatures reach around 84.
Conditions improve significantly later in the week. Thursday carries only a 20% afternoon storm chance with a high near 85, followed by sunshine Friday with another high around 85 and sunny skies Saturday near 84.
Cooler, Wetter Signal Returns Nov. 8–14 Florida then stands out from much of the country in NOAA's extended outlook.
The Climate Prediction Center favors below normal temperatures across much of Florida during Nov. 8–14 while above normal precipitation remains favored . That makes Florida one of the clearest exceptions to the widespread warm pattern covering most of the country.
That extended outlook does not mean continuous rain or a winter outbreak. It indicates the seven day period is tilted cooler than normal overall while total precipitation is favored wetter than normal.
For Miami, however, the immediate concern is much more concrete: heavy rain Nov. 1–2, possible 3–5 inch totals, isolated higher amounts and multiple flooding hazards through Monday.