Weather
FL Weather Alert: 70% Storm Chance in Miami, Nov 15–19
Florida's sunny November weather is heading toward a wetter, windier pattern, with thunderstorms and gusts approaching South Florida. Miami's rain chances could climb to 70% Wednesday as northeast win
By Cameron Hayes · 2026-11-15T10:17:47.529Z
Florida's sunny November weather is heading toward a wetter, windier pattern, with thunderstorms and gusts approaching South Florida. Miami's rain chances could climb to 70% Wednesday as northeast winds strengthen and showers become more widespread.
The changing conditions could affect commuters, beachgoers and travelers across Miami Dade County through the middle of the week.
According to the National Weather Service in Miami, shower chances increase Monday evening before reaching their highest levels Wednesday.
Sunshine Gives Way to Stronger Winds Monday Sunday begins with temperatures near 62 degrees at Miami International Airport, offering a relatively cool start for South Florida.
Sunshine should push afternoon temperatures toward 79 degrees, with northeast winds developing later in the day.
Monday, November 16, brings warmer conditions, with highs near 80 degrees.
However, northeast winds strengthen to 15 to 18 mph, with gusts reaching 24 mph.
Showers become possible after 7 p.m. Monday, with precipitation chances increasing to 50%.
Tuesday Brings Thunderstorm Chances and Gusty Conditions Tuesday, November 17, marks a noticeable change.
Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers and possible afternoon thunderstorms could interrupt outdoor activities.
The National Weather Service indicates a 50% precipitation chance, with highs near 79 degrees.
Northeast winds of 22 to 24 mph could produce gusts reaching 30 mph.
Showers and thunderstorms remain possible Tuesday evening, with gusts near 28 mph.
Wednesday Could Bring the Wettest Conditions Wednesday, November 18, carries the week's highest indicated precipitation probability.
The National Weather Service places rain chances at 70%, with showers likely and thunderstorms possible after 1 p.m.
Temperatures should remain near 79 degrees.
Northeast winds around 22 mph could produce gusts reaching 29 mph.
Showers remain likely Wednesday evening, with a continued 70% precipitation chance.
Although thunderstorms are possible, the supplied outlook does not identify a specific tornado threat or severe thunderstorm warning.
Travel Concerns Across Miami Dade County Drivers using I 95, I 195, the Dolphin Expressway and Palmetto Expressway should prepare for occasional wet pavement.
Heavier showers could briefly reduce visibility during afternoon commutes.
Gusty northeast winds may also affect exposed bridges and coastal roadways.
Travelers heading toward Miami International Airport should monitor flight conditions, although no specific delays are indicated.
The supplied outlook does not establish a flash flood threat for Miami.
Miami's Five Day Weather Outlook Monday, November 16: Sunny and breezy, high near 80°F. Northeast gusts up to 24 mph. Low near 75°F, with a 50% chance of showers after 7 p.m. Tuesday, November 17: Mostly cloudy and windy, high near 79°F. A 50% chance of showers and possible afternoon thunderstorms. Gusts up to 30 mph. Low near 75°F. Wednesday, November 18: Showers likely, with thunderstorms possible after 1 p.m. High near 79°F. Rain chance 70%, with gusts up to 29 mph. Low near 73°F. Thursday, November 19: Mostly sunny, windy and warm, high near 80°F. A 60% chance of showers and possible thunderstorms. Gusts up to 30 mph. Low near 74°F. Friday, November 20: Mostly sunny and breezy, high near 81°F. A 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low near 74°F.