Weather
Jacksonville, FL Weather Outlook: Cooler, Wetter Pattern Favored Nov. 8–14
JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Coastal flooding, dangerous rip currents and several days of unsettled weather will open November across northeast Florida, with Jacksonville remaining under coastal hazards throu
By Miles Carter · 2026-11-01T09:26:52.072Z
JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — Coastal flooding, dangerous rip currents and several days of unsettled weather will open November across northeast Florida, with Jacksonville remaining under coastal hazards through Monday evening.
The National Weather Service has a Coastal Flood Advisory and Rip Current Statement in effect until 7 p.m. Monday, Nov. 2 . Jacksonville Naval Air Station was reporting temperatures in the lower 70s early Sunday as persistent easterly flow continued across the region.
Showers, Storms Continue Through Monday Sunday carries a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms with a high near 78. Winds are expected from the east at 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Showers continue Sunday night before becoming more widespread Monday. The Weather Service forecasts a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms Monday , with a high near 76 and easterly winds of 11 to 16 mph gusting as high as 25 mph.
The persistent onshore wind is important because it coincides with the coastal flood and rip current hazards affecting the Jacksonville area.
Rain chances remain elevated Tuesday, with a 50% chance of showers and possible thunderstorms and a high near 79. Wednesday carries another 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms with temperatures near 80.
Drier Weather Arrives Late Week Conditions improve considerably after Wednesday.
Thursday is forecast to be partly sunny with a high near 81, followed by mostly sunny skies and a high around 80 Friday. Saturday currently looks sunny with a high near 78.
That late week improvement provides a break from several days of onshore flow, rain chances and coastal concerns.
Florida Breaks From National Warm Pattern Florida then becomes one of the more interesting states in NOAA's extended outlook.
While much of the country continues to favor above normal temperatures during Nov. 8–14 , the Climate Prediction Center favors below normal temperatures across much of Florida during that period. At the same time, above normal precipitation remains favored.
That makes Florida a clear exception to the broader national first half of November warmth story.
The extended outlook does not mean a winter outbreak is expected or that every day from Nov. 8–14 will be cool and rainy. It means average temperatures during the period are tilted below normal while total precipitation is favored above normal.
For Jacksonville, the immediate concern comes first: coastal flooding and dangerous rip currents through Monday, Nov. 2, followed by continued shower and storm chances into Wednesday.
The later cooler and wetter Nov. 8–14 signal then becomes the next pattern to watch as Florida moves deeper into November.