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Wildfire strategy doesn’t need a winner – with 3 camps fighting for dominance, the system can’t keep up with the risk
Wildfire strategy doesn’t need a winner – with 3 camps fighting for dominance, the system can’t keep up with the risk. Originally published by The Conversation.
By Tony Cheng, Professor of Forest and Natural Resource Policy, Colorado State University · 2026-09-14T13:04:18.232Z
A firefighter monitors a backfire in California, set to clear away dry vegetation that could fuel wildfires. Josh Edelson/AFP via Getty Images One of the problems with how America deals with wildfires is thinking there is one primary strategy that can end the nation’s wildfire crisis. Whether that’s detecting https://www.gov.ca.gov/2026/07/07/californias wildfire defense blasts off governor newsom launches firesat wildfire detection satellites to spot blazes from space/ and putting out every fire fast https://www.eenews.net/articles/burgums wildfire mandate smother every blaze/ , increasing logging and forest thinning https://theconversation.com/boosting timber harvesting in national forests while cutting public oversight wont fix americas wildfire problem 264097 , or allowing fires to burn under safe conditions http://doi.org/10.1126/science.aab2356 , the default choice today is to pour more money and effort into the star approach of the moment. But effective wildfire strategy in the face of worsening fire seasons https://www.nifc.gov/ demands a system of actions – interconnected pieces that reinforce one another. Right now, those pieces mostly are not connected. Research groups, governments and organizations tend to separate into distinct camps, each promoting its own specific strategy. The result is a system that can’t keep up https://www.weforum.org/publications/from wildfire risk to resilience the investment case for action 2026 with the rising fire risk. Our team of researchers, along with fire ecologist Jim Menakis, who recently retired from the U.S. Forest Service, has been looking at wildfires from social, ecological and risk science perspectives to help forest and fire managers and communities in fire prone areas turn research into practices that can reduce fire related risks. We have seen the pitfalls https://doi.org/10.1093/jofore/fvy020 of current https://doi.org/10.1126/science.350.6263.920 b fire management approaches https://doi.org/10.1093/jofore/fvad036 and also https://doi.org/10.1071/WF21168 examples https://doi.org/10.1007/s44391 025 00038 4 of https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2022.2092803 what https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2022.2092803 actually https://doi.org/10.1007/s44391 025 00038 4 works https://doi.org/10.1111/ropr.12379 . Three separate camps Wildfire strategy tends to break into three distinct camps today, each focusing heavily on one approach over the others. One camp wants to double down on suppressing https://www.fs.usda.gov/inside fs/leadership/2026 fire letter intent every ignition quickly and aggressively, contending that it’s the surest way to prevent immediate loss. The direction to put out every fire quickly has been a foundation of the U.S. government response https://theconversation.com/big fires demand a big response how 1910s big burn can help us think smarter about fighting wildfires and living with fire 167317 to wildfires since the early 1900s, and persists despite attempts over the years to change it https://www.doi.gov/sites/default/files/migrated/pmb/owf/upload/1995 Federal Fire Policy.pdf .
A firefighter stands on a burned area in steep, rugged mountains near Big Sur, Calif. Fires are natural parts of the landscape and can clear out excess brush, but letting them burn, unless they’re carefully managed fires, is rarely considered. Wai Lee Michael Ho/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images A second camp says the real problem is fuel: flammable vegetation that has been piling up for decades in forests and rangelands due to too much fire suppression. This group’s solution is to scale up forest and brush thinning through logging and controlled burning. Calls for these actions span political administrations, from the U.S. Forest Service’s Wildfire Crisis Strategy https://www.fs.usda.gov/sites/default/files/Wildfire Crisis Implementation Plan.pdf during the Biden administration to the Trump administration’s 2025 executive order calling for the expansion of American timber production https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential actions/2025/03/immediate expansion of american timber production/ and rescinding protections for roadless areas https://theconversation.com/why trumps plan to rescind the roadless rule protecting national forests will struggle in court 290496 of national forests. But while excessive fuel is a problem, particularly during dry periods, it isn’t the only issue.
A U.S. Forest Service staff member points to a patch of forest where the trees were removed to thin the amount of vegetation. The area in the background was clear cut as a break to help slow fires. Kevin Moloney/Getty Images A third camp says fire is coming regardless, and people have to live with it http://doi.org/10.1038/nature13946 by accepting and promoting more fire, but allowing it to burn on our terms http://doi.org/10.1126/science.aab2356 , when and where it’s safe. This is often called managed wildfire. It sometimes includes creating landscapes and communities https://forestsandrangelands.gov/documents/strategy/natl cohesive wildland fire mgmt strategy addendum update 2023.pdf that can survive and recover from fire https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1617464114 . Each camp tends to operate in isolation of the others, often with its own budget, workforce, practices and cultures. These silos can inhibit communication and coordination, which can make fire management less effective https://doi.org/10.3390/fire4030041 . Success stories at the intersections The question for fire management shouldn’t be “which of the three is right?” It should be “where do they reinforce each other?” Successful fire strategies combine many approaches to lower the risk. If you look closely, you can see some of the ways these methods intersect. Fuel treatments, such as prescribed burning of vegetation and thinning forests, used in the right locations, don’t stop fires on their own, but they can make suppression safer and more effective https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408 025 00369 0 by lowering a fire’s intensity.
Firefighters practice their skills while conducting a prescribed burn to remove dry, flammable vegetation that could fuel intense, destructive fires. Prescribed burns can also make fighting future fires there safer. Heather Diehl/Getty Images Using prescribed burns and forest thinning strategically https://cfri.colostate.edu/wp content/uploads/sites/22/2023/12/Beeton etal Using Improving Pods 2319.pdf can also make it safer for managers to allow lower intensity fire to expand under favorable weather conditions, thereby dampening future fire risk and letting fire play its ecological role https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408 022 00139 2 in renewing natural systems. A fire meant to spread still needs a safe edge to stop at, and fuel treatments serve this purpose. And while suppression and the idea of living with fire appear to oppose each other, the same detection and real time decision tools http://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2022.2092803 that let crews hit a fire hard and fast are exactly the tools needed to allow a fire to burn under safe conditions. Living with fire becomes credible only after fuel treatments have lowered risk to communities. A place where everyone is working together Wildfire activity has increased markedly http://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms8537 across many parts of the U.S. in recent decades, resulting in destruction to communities http://doi.org/10.1029/2020rg000726 , harm to water supplies https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2011048118 and tragic fatalities. We believe that changing this trajectory requires a shift in thinking, from promoting a single “best” wildfire strategy to designing stronger connections between strategic options. Building these connections has to begin long before a fire starts, continue while the fire burns and endure long after the fire has ended http://doi.org/10.1038/s43247 025 02165 9 . It includes how fire research and fire risk reduction projects are designed and funded, how communities are brought into planning to build trust and support, and how communities can lessen their vulnerability https://wildfirerisk.org/ to wildfires, such as home hardening, developing escape routes and updating land use codes. Reducing fire risk isn’t solely the responsibility of a single government agency or private entity; all sectors of society must contribute https://doi.org/10.1071/WF21168 . This is already happening where people are willing to do the hard work. For example, the Northern Colorado Fireshed Collaborative https://nocofireshed.org/ brings together federal and state agencies, local governments, water utilities and residents. They coordinate on reducing flammable vegetation across land ownership boundaries, prepare homeowners and communities through education and financial assistance for wildfire prevention measures, and organize response and recovery efforts as one connected system rather than separate ones. Everyone has a role The wildfire problem exceeds what any single entity can effectively tackle on its own. Fire scientists, government agencies and local communities all play a role, which means you do, too. Check if your area has a fire collaborative or community wildfire protection plan. Show up to public meetings to stay informed, and start making an impact at home by clearing dry brush around your property and helping neighbors do the same. The path to better strategies is built by people working together, not by policy on a page.
Tony Cheng receives funding from the Colorado State University System, National Science Foundation, and USDA Forest Service. He is affiliated with Colorado State University. Matt Thompson receives funding from Colorado State University, Headwaters Economics, Vibrant Planet, and CWE Strategies for wildfire risk science and analysis.