Southeast Nov. 23–26: Almanac Favors Mild Thanksgiving 2026

Southeast — The Farmers’ Almanac is favoring a mild Thanksgiving across the Southeast, with dry weather and sunshine possible during the Nov. 23–26 holiday travel period. Its regional outlook does not identify the Southeast as a main area for Thanksgiving snow.

The forecast, updated Oct. 19, covers Monday through Thanksgiving Day on Thursday, Nov. 26, 2026. The Almanac’s Southeast zone includes Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia and West Virginia.

For travelers, that broad projection points toward favorable conditions for outdoor gatherings and road trips, although it does not provide city-specific temperatures.

Atlanta offers some context for what November usually feels like: its normal daily high is about 64 degrees and its normal low is about 44, according to National Weather Service data for 1991–2020. Those are monthly climate averages, not the Thanksgiving forecast.

El Niño adds another piece to the picture. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center favors a wetter November in parts of the Southeast, assigning a 60% to 70% probability to above-normal precipitation in portions of the region. That describes the month’s total precipitation, not the chance of rain on Thanksgiving Day.

A wetter month can still contain several dry holiday days. NOAA’s outlook and the Almanac’s holiday forecast cover different periods, so the two do not necessarily conflict.

El Niño also does not erase winter. A mild Thanksgiving would say little about the risk of cold snaps later in the season. NOAA’s December 2026–February 2027 outlook favors wetter conditions across the South, but seasonal precipitation forecasts cannot establish when cold air and moisture might combine to produce snow.

For now, the Almanac’s Thanksgiving snow concerns are concentrated farther north and west. Southeast travelers should check local National Weather Service forecasts as departure approaches; neither seasonal probabilities nor the Almanac’s long-range outlook can settle conditions for a particular trip.