Weather
South Florida Weather: 2-4 Inches Possible This Week
Miami, FL – South Florida faces a wetter workweek beginning Monday as deeper tropical moisture returns, while forecasters also monitor a separate disturbance in the southwestern Gulf.
By Mason Reid · 2026-10-04T13:57:31.079Z
Miami, FL – South Florida faces a wetter workweek beginning Monday as deeper tropical moisture returns, while forecasters also monitor a separate disturbance in the southwestern Gulf.
According to the National Weather Service in Miami, relatively dry air aloft will limit showers and thunderstorms Sunday, resulting in the lowest rain chances expected across South Florida during the next seven days.
Conditions change Monday and Tuesday as deeper moisture arrives and a weak frontal boundary settles near Central Florida. The position of that boundary is expected to help increase rain chances across South Florida during the coming days.
The Weather Prediction Center forecasts widespread rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches across the northern half of South Florida over the next seven days, according to the NWS. Those are multi day totals and do not mean every location will receive that amount.
Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring the southwestern Gulf, where a broad area of low pressure could form during the next few days. The system has a 30% chance of tropical development over the next seven days.
That development probability should not be interpreted as a 30% chance of a tropical storm affecting Florida. The NHC outlook identifies an area where a system could develop, not a projected storm track.
Regardless of whether tropical development occurs, the nearby frontal boundary and increasing moisture are expected to produce a wetter pattern across South Florida.
For Miami and surrounding communities, Sunday offers the driest weather of the period. Rain and thunderstorm chances increase Monday and Tuesday, with residents advised to monitor updated forecasts as the location of the stalled boundary becomes clearer.