Weather
Gulf Shores, AL Weather Oct. 9-10: Surge 4-7 Feet
Gulf Shores, AL – Hurricane and Storm Surge watches are in effect for coastal Baldwin County as Isaias could bring life threatening storm surge, damaging winds, major flooding and a few tornadoes begi
By Erin Vale · 2026-10-07T20:54:03.114Z
Gulf Shores, AL – Hurricane and Storm Surge watches are in effect for coastal Baldwin County as Isaias could bring life threatening storm surge, damaging winds, major flooding and a few tornadoes beginning Friday, Oct. 9.
According to the National Weather Service in Mobile, the watches include Gulf Shores, Orange Beach and Fort Morgan. A Hurricane Watch means hurricane force winds are possible somewhere in the area within 48 hours, while a Storm Surge Watch means life threatening inundation is possible.
The latest local forecast calls for sustained winds of 55 to 70 mph with gusts reaching 100 mph. Tropical storm force winds are expected from Friday afternoon into early Saturday morning.
Accounting for typical uncertainty in Isaias’ track, size and intensity, the NWS identifies the potential for winds of 74 to 110 mph. That could produce considerable roof damage, downed trees, blocked roads and widespread power or communications outages.
Storm surge is another serious threat. Forecasters say 4 to 7 feet of inundation above ground is possible somewhere within surge prone areas from Friday morning through Saturday morning. Deep coastal flooding, severe beach erosion and damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks and piers are possible.
Rainfall totals of 6 to 10 inches are forecast, with locally higher amounts possible. The NWS assesses the rainfall threat as having the potential for major flooding, including rapidly rising waterways, flooded roads and possible evacuations or rescues.
The environment is also somewhat favorable for tornadoes, with a few tornadoes possible.
Residents should continue monitoring NWS Mobile and Baldwin County emergency officials. Storm surge concerns could begin Friday morning, followed by the strongest winds from Friday afternoon into early Saturday.