Memphis, Tennessee – Darker clouds are already beginning to build above the Mid-South, and the next round of summer thunderstorms could quickly change outdoor plans across Memphis by late afternoon.
Drivers heading along I-40, I-55, and Interstate 240 should stay alert as scattered thunderstorms develop through the day. Wet pavement, brief downpours, and lightning could create sudden slowdowns during periods of heavier rain.
According to the National Weather Service in Memphis, showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase mainly during the afternoon and evening hours. Today’s rain chances reach 60%, with rainfall amounts generally between a quarter and one-half inch where storms develop. Temperatures will climb into the mid-80s before storms begin cooling some neighborhoods.
The broader weather pattern across the Midwest and Mid-South continues to support active thunderstorm development. Meteorologists are monitoring a storm track capable of producing locally heavy rainfall, especially where multiple storms move across the same area.
Sunday remains warm and humid across Shelby County and surrounding communities. High temperatures near 89 degrees could push heat index values as high as 103 degrees before thunderstorms arrive. Gusty winds approaching 25 mph may accompany stronger storms Sunday evening.
Plan extra travel time Sunday night. The highest rain chances arrive after sunset and continue into Monday morning. Forecast guidance shows a 90% chance of rain Monday, with additional showers and thunderstorms likely across the Memphis metro. Localized ponding on roads and reduced visibility may impact commuters.
By Tuesday and Wednesday, rain chances begin to ease somewhat, although scattered thunderstorms remain possible. Temperatures hold in the middle 80s, keeping summer humidity firmly in place.
Looking farther ahead, above-normal temperatures may expand across much of the region late next week, signaling a stronger stretch of summer heat.
Five Day Forecast for Memphis, Tennessee
- Sunday: Chance of thunderstorms, high 89°F, heat index up to 103°F.
- Monday: Showers likely, high 86°F.
- Tuesday: Chance of thunderstorms, high 84°F.
- Wednesday: Slight chance of thunderstorms, high 86°F.
- Thursday: Scattered thunderstorms possible, high 87°F.





