Texas Weather Alert: Spring 2026 Leans Warmer in Dallas, Fort Worth With Above Normal Temperature Chance Through May

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Dallas, Texas – Spring 2026 could heat up quickly across North Texas, with above normal temperatures increasing the likelihood of early-season 90-degree days before summer officially begins.

According to NOAA’s Seasonal Temperature Outlook released February 19, North Texas falls within a region favored for above normal temperatures during March-April-May 2026. The southern Plains show a consistent lean toward warmer-than-average conditions, placing the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex in a fast-warming spring pattern.

In Dallas and Fort Worth, that could mean more frequent 80-degree afternoons in March and April, with the first widespread 90-degree readings possible by late April or May. While cold fronts will still sweep through from the Plains, sustained cool stretches appear less likely under the seasonal signal.

Communities north of the Metroplex, including Denton and McKinney, may experience sharp temperature swings behind passing systems, but overall averages trend warmer. Earlier soil warming could accelerate planting and lawn growth, while also increasing evaporation rates between rain events.

Across western portions of North Texas, dryline setups may combine with above normal warmth to fuel stronger spring storm systems, particularly during April and May.

Overall, North Texas appears poised for a fast-building, heat-leaning spring. Residents should prepare for earlier air-conditioning demand, rising pollen levels and the potential for multiple early heat spikes well ahead of June.