Albuquerque, N.M. – Parts of New Mexico face a moderate risk of flash flooding through Thursday, especially near recent wildfire burn scars, as summer heat builds toward triple digits across the southeast.
According to the National Weather Service in Albuquerque, thunderstorms are expected to continue east of the Rio Grande Valley today and Thursday, with a moderate flood threat over the Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon and Ruidoso Complex burn scars. Moisture levels will be above normal on Thursday, and storm motion remains slow—raising the flash flooding potential in mountainous regions.
The threat is concentrated around the South Fork and McBride burn scars near Ruidoso, where storms could linger due to slow east-southeast movement between 5 and 15 mph. Las Vegas and Raton may see rain chances above 35% today, with Chama and Red River exceeding 40% by Thursday. Although no high flood risk has been issued, localized downpours could trigger debris flows in steep terrain.
Roswell, Socorro, and Clovis will bake under rising heat, topping 100°F from Saturday through Monday. Albuquerque climbs to 98°F over the weekend, while Santa Fe and Farmington also approach the mid-90s. Residents in flood-prone zones should remain alert and avoid hiking or driving near drainages during storm activity.
Storm coverage will decrease after Thursday, but scorching temperatures are expected statewide through early next week. Flash flood risks remain possible over burn scars, and updates from NWS will continue daily.
🗓️ Five-Day Forecast for New Mexico:
- Wednesday: Scattered storms east; highs 86–94°F; moderate flood threat over burn scars
- Thursday: Storms continue east of Rio Grande; higher moisture; 88–97°F
- Friday: Slight storm chances; heat building; 89–99°F
- Saturday: Drier, very hot; Roswell/Socorro 100–101°F
- Sunday: Continued heat; most cities 95–102°F; storm chances return to mountains
